Chasing The Virus
FRONTLINE|April 24, 2020
While COVID-19’s onslaught has laid low the mighty United States and much of the developed world, in India there are differing perceptions on the 21-day lockdown strategy, which includes a low rate of testing, and its effectiveness in containing the infection.
R. Ramachandran
Chasing The Virus

At the time of writing, the total number of COVID-19 cases across the globe had crossed the 1 million mark and the epicentre of the pandemic, four months after it emerged in Wuhan, China, in December 2019, has moved from Europe (Italy) to the United States. The biggest economic power in the world is reeling under the impact of the disease with 3,11,544 confirmed cases and 8,488 deaths (as on April 5) even with stay-at-home advisories and physical distancing measures in place. It is feared that 100,000 to 200,000 could die from the disease in the U.S. In comparison, India’s case load and death toll have been pretty much on the lower side, with 3,374 cases and 77 deaths (as on April 5).

On March 24, following an announcement by Prime Minister Narendra Modi the whole country went into a 21-day lockdown period beginning March 25. This was beyond the various non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs)— such as closure of schools and other educational institutions and selected workplaces, restrictive social measures such as physical distancing, stay-at-home/ work-from-home advisories, avoiding mass gatherings, specific hygienic practices and a two-week self-quarantine by people with fever and cough—which were put in place gradually fairly early on since March 5. Obviously, preventing close contact among people through such measures without resorting to lockdown, slows down human-to-human transmission of the virus and as such the rate of increase in the case load would have come down, as was achieved in South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore and Japan. (In the wake of a consistent increase in the number of cases for two weeks, the Singapore Prime Minister announced a month-long partial lockdown, or what he calls “circuit-breaker”, to break transmission chains.)

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