Conservatism rules
FRONTLINE|April 24, 2020
The inadequate “relief” package and the emphasis on monetary policy to mitigate the effects of the virus-induced shock indicate that making the necessary fiscal effort in terms of hugely enhancing spending to provide relief is not the Centre’s priority.
C.P. CHANDRASEKHAR
Conservatism rules

WITH THE COVID-19 SHOCK PUSHING A tanking economy into recession, an unusual response from the state was expected. The government’s policy response cannot but entail a sharp increase in expenditure to cope with the medical fallout and the “sudden stop” in a wide range of economic activities that the virus attack has imposed. That response had to come primarily from the Centre, which has far greater fiscal flexibility than State governments, whose revenue receipts are under strain for multiple reasons and which are subject to stringent borrowing limits.

Workers without regular employment displaced from their jobs have to be provided transfers in kind and cash so that they can manage themselves and their families. Expenditure on testing, tracking and tracing; on protection for the medical workforce; and on ramped-up isolation and treatment facilities for the infected has to be substantial. Measures to ring-fence production of essential commodities to ensure that supplies are adequate and shortages do not lead to social chaos will need some financial backing. Some industries and economic activities must be supported with transfers to ensure that they are in a position to return to business when normalcy returns. And the government may consider raising expenditures to spur demand and trigger a recovery after the virus attack moderates and production is restored. Overall, therefore, this is not a situation demanding just conventional “stimulus” spending. Enhanced outlays are required first for tackling a public health emergency, for providing relief to the poor and the economically vulnerable who are being devastated by the shock and the responses to it, and for restoring normalcy in production and supply, and only then for stimulating a recovery.

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