How US Elections Could Affect India

Anticipate new and varied challenges depending on the outcome

- AJAY CHHIBBER

On November 5, the US will elect a new President, a decision that will have huge implications not only for the US, but for the entire world, including India. A Kamala Harris victory would mark extraordinary firsts - the first Black woman and the first person of Indian heritage to be elected President. Her election would also be the most significant marker of the rise of the Indian diaspora in the US. But while she may bring some changes, expect broad continuity with Joe Biden's policies. If Donald Trump wins a second term, a major upheaval in US policies and positions is likely.

Mr Trump would, as stated, end the war in Ukraine by forcing a deal that would likely end up in Putin keeping much of what Russia has occupied. While India was affected by rising oil and fertiliser prices in the early stage of this war, its subsequent purchase of discounted Russian crude helped limit the economic impact. Mr Trump's transactional approach would again weaken the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) by putting in doubt guaranteed support if a member is attacked. Ms Harris, on the other hand, will maintain the Biden administration's position on Ukraine and NATO. In West Asia, Mr Trump is staunchly pro-Israel and would support the country no matter what happens. Ms Harris supports an internationally accepted two-state solution and would take a tougher stance with Israel compared to President Biden. But President Biden's weak handling of the conflict could lead to a wider war even before the election.