CHINA DEFLATION: WHAT LIES AHEAD
Financial Express Mumbai|August 12, 2023
China reported "deflation" in July. Marquee business dailies in the West have termed this as a "warning sign for the global economy". We explain how this could compound the task of monetary policy managers, and twist the narratives so far on global growth and financial stability across nations
CHINA DEFLATION: WHAT LIES AHEAD

Deflation, and China

DEFLATION IS PERSISTENT, generalised decline in price levels in an economy. While the other major economies are battling stagflation (low growth-high inflation) with monetary tightening and fiscal correction, China has started experiencing stagnation.

The recovery of the world's second-largest economy after its tight Covid curbs appeared quick initially, but has since proved to be slow. Consumer demand is tepid. Both the relevant indices-consumer price index (retail) & producer price index (factory gate)slipped to the deflationary zone in July, with y-o-y decline of 0.3% and 4.4%, respectively. For CPI, this is first fall since February 2021, while PPI has declined for the 10th month in a row. The Chinese economy grew 6.3% in Q22023, against 4.5% in Q1-but that was largely because of the base effect.

Consequences for China & likely policy reaction

هذه القصة مأخوذة من طبعة August 12, 2023 من Financial Express Mumbai.

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هذه القصة مأخوذة من طبعة August 12, 2023 من Financial Express Mumbai.

ابدأ النسخة التجريبية المجانية من Magzter GOLD لمدة 7 أيام للوصول إلى آلاف القصص المتميزة المنسقة وأكثر من 9,000 مجلة وصحيفة.

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