BOP: A tale of growth and yield
Mint Mumbai|April 03, 2023
The latest balance of payment (BOP) numbers offer comfort. Firstly, the current account deficit (CAD) narrowed sharply to 2.2% of the gross domestic product (GDP) in the three months ended December (Q3FY23) from 3.7% in Q2. The current account measures the net export of goods and services by a country (along with remittances and income on investments). A lower CAD often signals strengthening external sector fundamentals.
Rupali Sarkar
BOP: A tale of growth and yield

Secondly, the improvement in CAD this time has been broad-based driven by a sizeable narrowing in merchandise trade deficit and sharp increase in both services trade surplus as well as net remittances received, both of which are at historic high levels.

Thirdly, the overall BoP has swung back to a surplus of $11 billion in Q3 after a sizeable deficit in Q2. BoP surplus indicates net inflow of US dollars in the economy and thus is a fundamental support pillar for the Indian rupee.

This encouraging story is likely to continue in Q4 as well with the expected further narrowing in the CAD. Trade deficit has already narrowed sharply in the first two months of Q4, averaging at $17 billion compared to an average of $24 billion per month in Q3. Services exports have been robust keeping the surplus in this account near record highs.

هذه القصة مأخوذة من طبعة April 03, 2023 من Mint Mumbai.

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هذه القصة مأخوذة من طبعة April 03, 2023 من Mint Mumbai.

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