The Fate Of Russo-Ukrainian Special OPS
Geopolitics|November 2022
It is far more likely that despite being framed by nuclear ‘red lines’ threatening use of Tactical Nuclear Weapons (TNWs) by Russia or alleged use of ‘dirty bombs’ by either antagonist or the accidental/deliberate explosion/meltdown in a Ukrainian powerplant of the Chernobyl/ Fukushima kind, sense and stark reality will nally prevail. The war will end, as most wars do, with a negotiated settlement. One may even have the prognosis that India can play a leading part in bringing about such a rapprochement but will play its cards carefully with behind-thescenes deft diplomacy, keeping its national interest in mind. Gen RAJ MEHTA examines the many strands of the complex issue
The Fate Of Russo-Ukrainian Special OPS

Much water has flown down the Dnieper and Moskva rivers since the West (read mainly US) carefully engineered cataclysmic break-up of erstwhile USSR in 1991 and single-minded Western pursuit of marginalising its successor state Russia by weaning away the erstwhile Warsaw Pact East European states into NATO- notwithstanding solemn Western assurances to Russia to stop an eastward expansion of NATO “by even an inch”. These promises were never meant to be honoured and are the core reason why the Russo-Ukrainian War is being fought; a facade really for a Western proxy war against Russia with Ukraine as the naive ‘fall guy’.

A total of 18.5 billion has been provided to Kyiv in military assistance since President Joe Biden came to office in January 2021 with EU/NATO/ other western nations providing billions more even if this funding resolve is now clearly wavering as the war drags on.

Today, the world is being jolted by looming, debilitating economic recession, food shortages, spiraling inflation led by prohibitive fuel costs, disease and nature’s chilling riposte against its mindless human depredation. Climatic change driven typhoons, cyclones, tornadoes, excessive rain, stark drought and damaging changes in onset/departure of seasons are today’s reality. Co-terminus with these unpredictable changes is the ongoing Russo-Ukrainian war; a brazen proxy war led by the US-NATO-EU combine to marginalise Russia, the successor state to erstwhile USSR at the cost of Ukraine; a huge country in the European context which was not just its bread-basket and steels/heavy machinery supplier but also its hi-technology brains trust.

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