It may not be a cakewalk for Rahul, Cong in Kerala
Business Standard|February 26, 2024
In the run-up to Lok Sabha polls, LDF appears to be better placed than in 2019 and BJP is leaving no stone unturned to emerge as a challenger in the state, writes SHINE JACOB
SHINE JACOB
It may not be a cakewalk for Rahul, Cong in Kerala

In the current political landscape, the notion of a wave of support for Congress leader Rahul Gandhi may seem far-fetched to many. Yet, in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, when the Congress was nearly obliterated from the political map with a mere 52 seats (and the United Progressive Alliance with 91), it was a surge of support for Gandhi in the South that helped keep the party relevant.

The Congress and its allies secured 19 of their seats from Kerala, buoyed by the fact that, for the first time, a national leader and member of the Nehru-Gandhi family was contesting from Kerala. Only once before in Kerala's history has the Congress and its allies fared better -- during the post-Emergency elections in 1977 when they swept all 20 seats. On both occasions, in 2019 and 1977, the Congress suffered losses in large parts of the country.

Will the Sahyadri ranges provide a bulwark for the party and its allies once again? Political pundits unanimously suggest that the state is not experiencing a discernible Gandhi wave this time around.

Unlike the previous election, the Communist Party of India (Marxist)-led Left Democratic Front (LDF) is on solid ground, while the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is expected to pose a strong challenge in two seats in Kerala - Thrissur and Thiruvananthapuram.

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