![If Keir Starmer wins a historic majority, will he be able to handle the hope?](https://cdn.magzter.com/1591272731/1718725698/articles/YTJiB9g9v1718739706085/IF-KEIR-STARMER-WINS-A-HISTORIC-MAJORITY-WILL-HE-BE-ABLE-TO-HANDLE-THE-HOPE.jpg)
Though it is true that the National Government formed after the October 1931 election boasted a governing majority of no less than 492, this coalition aggregate included seats held by Ramsay MacDonald's National Labour, the Conservatives and some Liberals. Baldwin holds the undisputed modern record for a single party victory. And, on July 4, that record could fall to Sir Keir Starmer.
This, at any rate, is what MRP polls unambiguously suggest. These mega-surveys are more accurate because they involve very large samples of respondents and take account of different demographic groups rather than assuming a uniform national swing (MRP, if you're interested, stands for "multilevel regression and post-stratification").
On Saturday, a Survation poll of this kind - the first to be conducted since Nigel Farage's return to the fray - suggested that Labour is heading for a majority of 262, leaving the Tories with a paltry 72 seats.
Nor is this the first time during the campaign that such surveys have delivered such results. On May 31, an Electoral Calculus poll predicted a Starmer majority of 336, and again the Conservative Party reduced to 72. On June 4, Survation found that Labour was on course for a majority of 324, leaving the Tories with only 71 seats.
Diese Geschichte stammt aus der June 18, 2024-Ausgabe von Evening Standard.
Starten Sie Ihre 7-tägige kostenlose Testversion von Magzter GOLD, um auf Tausende kuratierte Premium-Storys sowie über 8.000 Zeitschriften und Zeitungen zuzugreifen.
Bereits Abonnent ? Anmelden
Diese Geschichte stammt aus der June 18, 2024-Ausgabe von Evening Standard.
Starten Sie Ihre 7-tägige kostenlose Testversion von Magzter GOLD, um auf Tausende kuratierte Premium-Storys sowie über 8.000 Zeitschriften und Zeitungen zuzugreifen.
Bereits Abonnent? Anmelden
![Machac opener for Murray if he's able to play at Wimbledon](https://reseuro.magzter.com/100x125/articles/22096/1748307/ewI2x_-0F1719598520239/MACHAC-OPENER-FOR-MURRAY-IF-HES-ABLE-TO-PLAY-AT-WIMBLEDON.jpg)
Machac opener for Murray if he's able to play at Wimbledon
ANDY MURRAY was this morning drawn to face Tomas Machac in the first round of the Wimbledon men's singles.
![England need 'dead' Bellingham to recover and deliver on the big stage](https://reseuro.magzter.com/100x125/articles/22096/1748307/uMmlFOPUF1719598421633/ENGLAND-NEED-DEAD-BELLINGHAM-TO-RECOVER-AND-DELIVER-ON-THE-BIG-STAGE.jpg)
England need 'dead' Bellingham to recover and deliver on the big stage
THREE matches into this European Championship, you could probably make a good 45-minute compilation of Jude Bellingham's highlights. Trouble is, they would all be from the same 45 minutes.
![England's knockout blow may signal the end of an era](https://reseuro.magzter.com/100x125/articles/22096/1748307/d_TntWNlL1719598330418/ENGLANDS-KNOCKOUT-BLOW-MAY-SIGNAL-THE-END-OF-AN-ERA.jpg)
England's knockout blow may signal the end of an era
India too good and defeat leaves futures of Buttler and Mott in the air
![OnlyFans, the novel, is a mixed attempt to titillate the Gen Z market](https://reseuro.magzter.com/100x125/articles/22096/1748307/5JEGhuAnd1719598139788/ONLYFANS-THE-NOVEL-IS-A-MIXED-ATTEMPT-TO-TITILLATE-THE-GEN-Z-MARKET.jpg)
OnlyFans, the novel, is a mixed attempt to titillate the Gen Z market
THE publisher blurb accompanying Rufi Thorpe's latest novel (see also The Girls from Corona Del Mar, The Knockout Queen) shouts breathlessly that it is a story about OnlyFans, young single motherhood and pro-wrestling.
![Moffat's witty swipe at cancel culture is a highly refreshing hoot](https://reseuro.magzter.com/100x125/articles/22096/1748307/eEBbah2Y51719597983919/MOFFATS-WITTY-SWIPE-AT-CANCEL-CULTURE-IS-A-HIGHLY-REFRESHING-HOOT.jpg)
Moffat's witty swipe at cancel culture is a highly refreshing hoot
DOUGLAS BELLOWS (Hugh Bonneville) is a presenter on a successful evening news programme called Live at Six.
![I'm going to spoil my ballot next week - and this is why](https://reseuro.magzter.com/100x125/articles/22096/1748307/ooNAcDWUw1719597807841/IM-GOING-TO-SPOIL-MY-BALLOT-NEXT-WEEK-AND-THIS-IS-WHY.jpg)
I'm going to spoil my ballot next week - and this is why
JUST five full days to go now for us all to decide how to vote. Almost half of us still haven't fully made up our minds, polls suggest. An abnormally high number for this late in the campaign - and I'm one of them.
![Enough of the sulk.Start playing like you're enjoying it](https://reseuro.magzter.com/100x125/articles/22096/1748307/ohNZIb0vv1719597682635/ENOUGH-OF-THE-SULKSTART-PLAYING-LIKE-YOURE-ENJOYING-IT.jpg)
Enough of the sulk.Start playing like you're enjoying it
ALTHOUGH Gareth Southgate was always clear that he would finish his current job either on an opentop bus parade or banished to the Tower of London, he probably didn't have the indignity of being pelted with plastic beer cups on his personal bingo card of humiliations inflicted on England managers.
![Lines are so fetch, songs are so forgettable](https://reseuro.magzter.com/100x125/articles/22096/1748307/VPRAcjDCr1719597550301/LINES-ARE-SO-FETCH-SONGS-ARE-SO-FORGETTABLE.jpg)
Lines are so fetch, songs are so forgettable
THIS breezy, arch but boneless musical adaptation by Tina Fey of her milestone high-school comedy demonstrates the law of diminishing returns.
![All to play for in Thatcher's seat where Gaza casts cloud for Labour](https://reseuro.magzter.com/100x125/articles/22096/1748307/3kkRGlmzq1719597285904/ALL-TO-PLAY-FOR-IN-THATCHERS-SEAT-WHERE-GAZA-CASTS-CLOUD-FOR-LABOUR.jpg)
All to play for in Thatcher's seat where Gaza casts cloud for Labour
Jitendra Joshi talks to the candidates fighting it out in Finchley and Golders Green
![I'm sorry I upset you over 'Bangladeshi removals', says Keir](https://reseuro.magzter.com/100x125/articles/22096/1748307/6LDFG6sGu1719597172266/IM-SORRY-I-UPSET-YOU-OVER-BANGLADESHI-REMOVALS-SAYS-KEIR.jpg)
I'm sorry I upset you over 'Bangladeshi removals', says Keir
SIR Keir Starmer has said he is \"very concerned\" about the upset he caused with comments about Bangladeshi migrants during a general election event.