The US elections are over and the outcome is an uncontestable victory for Donald Trump and the Republican Party. Trump got 50.4% of the national vote, a margin of more than 2 percentage points over Kamala Harris. This signals a decisive victory by recent US election standards. He won all seven swing states and got about the same number of votes in 2024 as in 2020 (Harris got 10 million fewer than Joe Biden had that year).
Before we hold our breath again in anticipation of the antics to come from the Trump administration, let us try to look for some explanation of the outcome. There are two sets of possible explanations. The first set, which dominates the media, can be grouped together as 'short term' or 'only this election'. These are the most direct and obvious explanations that treat this—and every election—as a unique case with its own dynamics. In this line of thinking, changing candidates or messaging or timing could have yielded a different outcome. These include:
It's Biden's fault: He blocked the Democratic primary process by insisting on running for president although he was mentally and physically unfit, which increased disdain for him and resulted in a candidate, Harris, who was not vetted by party members and had little time to prepare.
It's Harris's fault: She ran a poor campaign; her message was muddled and advertising insipid; her only arguments were 'I am pro-abortion' and 'I'm not Trump'; she never acknowledged the struggles of the working class, and was seen as weak.
Diese Geschichte stammt aus der November 20, 2024-Ausgabe von Mint Mumbai.
Starten Sie Ihre 7-tägige kostenlose Testversion von Magzter GOLD, um auf Tausende kuratierte Premium-Storys sowie über 8.000 Zeitschriften und Zeitungen zuzugreifen.
Bereits Abonnent ? Anmelden
Diese Geschichte stammt aus der November 20, 2024-Ausgabe von Mint Mumbai.
Starten Sie Ihre 7-tägige kostenlose Testversion von Magzter GOLD, um auf Tausende kuratierte Premium-Storys sowie über 8.000 Zeitschriften und Zeitungen zuzugreifen.
Bereits Abonnent? Anmelden
World Bank calls for reforming skills training in India
India must make a coordinated effort to reform and rebrand vocational skill training, besides aligning education with the job market, to leverage its demographic advantage to meet the $5-trillion target for its economy, the World Bank said.
FCPA cases take long to conclude after indictment
For investors keen to know the fate of billionaire Gautam Adani's indictment by US authorities, the watchword is patience.
Short-covering, relief rally add ₹7.27 trillion wealth
Markets up 2.39% to hit the highest in six months, a day after Adani's indictment
Wetter monsoon slows pace of adding new transmission lines
India's addition of new power transmission lines fell by half over a year earlier in the April-October period as a wetter-than-usual monsoon slowed work.
COP29's $1.3 tn fund plan disappoints Global South
The 29th edition of the UN climate change conference in Azerbaijan emerged from a deadlock with an annual climate finance goal of $1.3 trillion for developing countries, much to the disappointment of the Global South.
Jaguar rebrand is pink, diverse and doesn't feature any cars
Luxury automaker Jaguar is betting that a colorful and youthful rebrand will help it successfully launch fully into the electric-cars market.
Services up as manufacturing slows in Nov
The HSBC Flash India Services PMI was at 59.2 in Nov from 58.5 in Oct; manufacturing PMI fell slightly from 60.4 to 60.2
MSMED may protect medium firms too
The Centre may consider including medium enterprises for the protection granted under MSME Development (MSMED) Act, 2006, to resolve payment disputes.
Europe boosts Indian textile exports in FY25
Demand for Indian handloom, apparel partly fuelled by Bangladesh crisis
RBI nudges banks to cut speculative bet in rupee
The Indian central bank, in a rare move, instructed some banks to cut their long positions on the dollar-rupee pair on Friday, seeking to curb speculative positions with the currency at a record low, four bankers familiar with the development told Reuters.
