This is according to a Techne survey commissioned by the Cleverly team; it is somewhat out of line with the Conservative Home panel, which still has Badenoch ahead and Patel much further behind most of the others. But it could mean the race is rather more open and unpredictable than first thought.
What’s going on?
It seems unlikely that different timings for the fieldwork and candidates’ responses (or lack of them) to the riots could explain a sudden Cleverly surge, though as shadow home secretary he had a slightly higher profile during the disturbances. The differences in standing are stark (Techne figures first, Conservative Home second):
James Cleverly 26 10
Priti Patel 20 8
Kemi Badenoch 14 33
Tom Tugendhat 11 10
Robert Jenrick 10 19
Mel Stride 4 2
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