State­wise Popularity Trends Point To A Close Election

Satisfaction levels with the Modi regime, though, have improved in the last year

A total of 59% of the respondents in the CSDS-LoknitiThe Hindu-Tiranga TV-Dainik Bhaskar Pre-Poll Survey reported being satisfied with the Central government’s performance, with 35% registering dissatisfaction. This 24 percentage point net satisfaction with the government marked a definite increase from its popularity numbers last year when the net s

A total of 59% of the respondents in the CSDS-LoknitiThe Hindu-Tiranga TV-Dainik Bhaskar Pre-Poll Survey reported being satisfied with the Central government’s performance, with 35% registering dissatisfaction. This 24 percentage point net satisfaction with the government marked a definite increase from its popularity numbers last year when the net satisfaction had dropped to zero (46% satisfied, 47% dissatisfied).

But when it came to the question of giving the government a second chance, the numbers were closer — 46% for doing so, and 36% against. A comparison with the 2009 election is merited here. In May 2009, net satisfaction with the Manmohan Singh government was 43 points (64% were satisfied and 21% dissatisfied). With that rating, the Congress and its allies won 262 seats, 10 short of majority. This suggests the 2019 election will not be a cakewalk for the NDA government.