As prices plunge, companies collapse, and skepticism soars, fortunes and jobs are disappearing overnight, and investors’ feverish speculation has been replaced by icy calculation, in what industry leaders are referring to as a “crypto winter.”
It’s a dizzying turn of events for investments and companies that at the start of 2022 seemed to be at their financial and cultural apex. Cryptoevangelizing companies ran commercials during the Super Bowl and spent heavily to sponsor sports arenas and baseball teams. The industry's combined assets back then were estimated to be worth more than $3 trillion; today, they are worth less than a third of that. Maybe.
This week, the price of bitcoin traded at $20,097, more than 70% below its November peak of around $69,000. Another leading cryptocurrency, Ethereum, was trading near $4,800 at its November peak; it is now less than $1,000.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrency prices have been sliding all year, a decline that accelerated as the Federal Reserve signaled that interest rates would be moving higher to try and snuff out inflation. What is happening to crypto is, in part, an extreme version of what is happening to stocks, as investors sell riskier assets at a time when the threat of recession is rising.
But the crypto sell-off is more than that, experts say; it signals growing trepidation on Wall Street and Main Street about the industry's fundamentals, which right now are looking shaky.
"There was this irrational exuberance, said Mark Hays at Americans for Financial Reform, a consumer advocacy group. "They did similar things leading up to the 2008 crisis: aggressively market these products, promise returns that were unreasonable, ignore the risks, and would dismiss any critics as folk who just didn't get it."
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