The OECD projects a global GDP growth of 2.7% in 2024, down from 2.9% in 2023. This downturn is prevalent across advanced countries, and a recovery is anticipated only in 2025, as real incomes rebound from the impact of inflation, and central banks begin to reduce borrowing costs.
In a similar vein, the International Monetary Fund's (IMF) report titled 'World Economic Outlook - Navigating Global Divergences, October 23, indicates a baseline forecast of global growth slowing from 3.5% in 2022 to 3.0% in 2023 and 2.9% in 2024. Advanced economies are expected to experience a slowdown from 2.6% in 2022 to 1.5% in 2023 and 1.4% in 2024 due to tightening policies. Emerging market and developing economies are projected to see a modest decline in growth from 4.1% in 2022 to 4.0% in both 2023 and 2024.
Global inflation is forecasted to decrease steadily, from 8.7% in 2022 to 6.9% in 2023 and 5.8% in 2024, aided by tighter monetary policy and lower international commodity prices.
Core inflation is expected to decrease gradually, with a return to target levels not anticipated until 2025 in most cases.
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