India has already recovered from Covid-19 and Russia-Ukraine war. But India should acknowledge that its growth was on down-hill after 2016-17. During 2017-23, growth was barely 4.47 per cent on CAGR basis. In 2023-24, growth-target of 6.5 per cent might be difficult without reducing Trade-deficit (goods & services) to below 2 per cent of GDP which was 3.7 per cent in 2022-23. Trade deficit (net-import) is a direct loss of GDP.
Considering SWOT analysis, Indian Economy is at its turning point. India has latent growth potential of 8-10 per cent for two to three decades and become third largest economy. But the complacency might gradually result in a new normal growth-rate of 5 per cent in future, somewhat similar to pre-1991 era. That India cannot afford.
India is largest democracy. Its democratic institutions craft confidence among global-investors which is its biggest strength. It has large workforce of talented and educated youths and many of them have entrepreneurial skill. That is another big strength. Currently, Labour Participation Ratio (LPR) has slipped below 40 per cent; that must be restored to 2011 level at 52.9 per cent and gradually increased to 65 per cent plus as per global norms. Rising trade-deficit, depreciating rupee, slow-moving manufacturing, sluggish MSME, non-remunerative agriculture and inadequate infrastructures are crucial weaknesses.
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Esta historia es de la edición August 2023 de Indian Economy & Market.
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NEW INVESTMENT PRODUCT CATEGORY IS SEBI'S LATEST MOVE COMMENDABLE?
The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) has introduced a consultation paper proposing a new investment product category aimed at addressing a specific market need. This proposed asset class would offer investment options that sit between mutual funds (MFS) and PMS, filling a gap and providing greater flexibility in portfolio management. The new investment vehicle is designed for investors who are prepared to take on riskier market positions but find PMS schemes or AIFs out of reach. SEBI after reviewing the feedback and finalizing the regulations through stakeholder discussions, may issue the final regulations.
DECODING THE CHINA MYTH
Myths die hard. Among these is the great myth that China's poised to take over the world. Here, James Rickards debunks that myth.
What Is In Store For The Indian Economy?
Until the 2014 Lok Sabha elections, when the Bharatiya Janata Party secured 282 seats and Narendra Modi ascended to power, India experienced 21 years of coalition governments. A decade later, the BJP holds 240 seats in the Lok Sabha, and India is once again governed by a coalition. Fitch has indicated that coalition politics and a weakened mandate for the NDA could hinder the passage of ambitious reform legislation. It raises the question: Do coalition governments impede the economic reform agenda?
Transforming The Indian Stock Market
With a rising number of millennials, Gen Z investors, and tech-savvy traditional investors, Robo advisors are making a significant impact on the FinTech and WealthTech sectors. Factors like growing per capita income, favourable demographics, and increasing smartphone and internet Usage further enhance India’s potential as a robust market. Al’s role in stock market analysis is unquestionably growing. It enhances rather than replaces human judgment, providing powerful tools for informed investment decisions.
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Face to Face
\"We believe ourselves to be service providers and not any goods manufacturer\"
THE REALITY OF CORPORATE ESG INITIATIVES
Today, environmental, social, and governance (ESG) considerations dominate business discussions and have become an integral part of the strategies of many organisations in different industries. While some companies are grappling with these new standards and commitments, others, already aligned with the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), are well prepared to meet the evolving regulations and standards related to corporate social responsibility (CSR) and ESG.
Standard Capital Markets Ltd. Incorporates Subsidiary for Insurance Broking
Standard Capital Markets Ltd., a leading player in the financial services sector, has announced that it has incorporated a subsidiary under the name of “Standard Insurance Broking Ltd.” to act as a Direct broker under the Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority of India (Insurance Brokers) Regulations, 2018.NOC of Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority of India already taken and now company will also apply for taking Insurance Broking License of Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority of India (IRDAI).
THE IMMINENT MIDDLE EAST WAR
Recent intelligence from a variety of sources points to an Israeli war against Hezbollah, which is an Iranian proxy. Hezbollah is systematically attacking Israeli bases, radars, intelligence-collections facilities and other defense system components. Now the attacks are spreading to include Israeli settlements in the West Bank and Galilee. You’re just not hearing about it in the mainstream media. These attacks have three effects: They break down Israeli military and intelligence systems, terrorize the civilian population and handicap Israel’s ability to conduct air attacks on Syria or Lebanon. James Rickards points out why all these are imminent.
