Experts See FY26 Nominal GDP Growth at 10-11%
Business Standard|January 09, 2025
The upcoming Union Budget to be presented on February 1 is likely to assume a nominal gross domestic product (GDP) growth between 10 and 11 per cent for FY26, a Business Standard poll of 10 economists showed.
SHIVA RAJORA & RUCHIKA CHITRAVANSHI
Experts See FY26 Nominal GDP Growth at 10-11%

The first advance estimates released by the National Statistics Office (NSO) had estimated a nominal GDP growth of 9.7 per cent for FY25. Nominal GDP, calculated at current market prices, factors in the effect of inflation. It is used as the base to calculate crucial macroeconomic indicators, such as fiscal deficit, revenue deficit, and debt-to-GDP ratio. A higher nominal GDP assumption makes it easier for the finance minister to show a narrower fiscal deficit print and vice versa.

Madan Sabnavis, chief economist, Bank of Baroda said nominal GDP growth is assumed to be 10.5 per cent for FY26. This is due to the low base effect and a lower inflation print (around 4 per cent) which will revive consumption.

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