Both Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman and Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Shaktikanta Das recently expressed concern over the wide gap between credit and deposit growth in the banking system. In fact, Mr Das has been categorically pointing out this anomaly in his public appearances. For instance, in the statement announcing the monetary policy decision last week, he noted that alternative investment avenues seemed to be becoming more attractive for retail customers, resulting in challenges for banks on the funding front. Consequently, banks depend on short-term non-retail funds and other instruments to meet the incremental credit growth demand.
This can expose the banking system to structural liquidity issues. Deposit growth has been trailing lending growth for some time, with potential systemic cause and effect. On their part, as reported by this newspaper on Wednesday, some banks are adopting innovative strategies to attract deposits.
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FY25 as weak-earnings year is gradually getting priced in
Even as many blame record foreign portfolio outflows for the market downturn, the real culprit is weak earnings amid rich valuations, says GAUTAM CHHAOCHHARIA, head of global markets, India, UBS. In an interview with Samie Modak in Mumbai ahead of the UBS India Summit, Chhaochharia highlights that 2024-25 (FY25) weak earnings growth is now factoring into market expectations. Investors are shifting their focus to the actions of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and the central government, as well as the outcome of upcoming state elections. Edited excerpts:
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Re-examine trade pacts
India must consider entering CPTPP, RCEP