Inflation spurts to 4.81% in June
Financial Express Mumbai|July 13, 2023
RATE CUT HOPES DAMPENED | Upward climb expected but quantum slightly higher than anticipated
MUKESH JAGOTA
Inflation spurts to 4.81% in June

INDIA'S RETAIL INFLATION spurted in June after declining for the previous four months, owing to stiff cereal prices, costlier pulses and sequential rise in vegetable prices. The Consumer Price Index rose 4.81% on year in June from 4.31% in May, as food inflation went up to 4.49% from 2.96%, official data showed on Monday, further dimming the prospects of rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in the current fiscal.

Though an inching up of the inflation rate was expected given the gradual fading of a favourable base, the quantum of the rise was slightly higher than anticipated.

The core inflation, which is a more accurate indicator of demand pressures, also inched up to 5.8% in June, from 5.4% in May and 5.2% in April.

Even with the latest spike in inflation, retail inflation in the June quarter came in at 4.6%, the rate projected by the RBI in the June monetary policy statement, but the sticky nature of food inflation and the recent sharp increases in prices of vegetables like tomato, its Q2 inflation may overshoot the RBI forecast of 5.2%, analysts said.

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