3 factors that explain Jharkhand poll result
Hindustan Times|November 24, 2024
Three factors explain the JMM's big victory—it is the biggest ever in the state's history—in these elections: complete consolidation of its core constituency among Scheduled Tribe (ST) voters, better outreach among non-ST voters with a wider alliance, identity-agnostic welfare schemes, and some external help from a nativist party making its debut which hurt the BJP alliance far more than the JMM alliance.
Abhishek Jha and Roshan Kishore

Let us take the 28 ST reserved assembly constituencies. The JMM-led alliance has won 27 of them this time. This is the third time in a row the JMM alliance has increased its seat count in the ST reserved ACs at the cost of the BJP. Because, the JMM-led alliance had pretty much all of the ST reserved ACs in 2019 as well, a better measure of its growing dominance in the ST reserved ACs is its vote share which has increased from 43% to 51% between 2019 and 2024. (See Chart 1)

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Hindustan Times

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Hindustan Times

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Hindustan Times

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Hindustan Times

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Hindustan Times

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