It's not a cast-iron rule. Sir Geoffrey Howe's most controversial budget was in 1981 - midterm in Margaret Thatcher's first administration - when he raised taxes even though the economy was deep in recession. That decision prompted 364 economists to write to the Times in protest - and still divides the profession today.
But if Rachel Reeves is good to her word and has a tough package of measures to announce when she reveals the contents of her red box tomorrow, she will be following in the footsteps of many of her predecessors.
There are plenty of reasons why chancellors like to hit the ground running. It is a chance to set the direction for the parliament. It allows big structural reforms time to have an effect. And it allows an incoming government to blame its defeated opponents for any unpopular decisions they need to make.
Here are five first budgets (or to be more accurate, five budgets and one fiscal event that was as good as a budget) that have made a difference over the past half century, along with a verdict out of five on how much they broke the mould and the legacy they left.
Sir Geoffrey Howe
June 1979
Howe wasted little time after the Conservative victory in the May 1979 election to signal a decisive break with the postwar economic consensus. His budget marked the beginning of the Tory party's monetarist experiment, under which controlling inflation through the use of higher interest rates and tough fiscal control took precedence over full employment. Markets were liberalised and there was a shift away from taxes on income in favour of taxes on consumption.
Esta historia es de la edición October 29, 2024 de The Guardian.
Comience su prueba gratuita de Magzter GOLD de 7 días para acceder a miles de historias premium seleccionadas y a más de 9,000 revistas y periódicos.
Ya eres suscriptor ? Conectar
Esta historia es de la edición October 29, 2024 de The Guardian.
Comience su prueba gratuita de Magzter GOLD de 7 días para acceder a miles de historias premium seleccionadas y a más de 9,000 revistas y periódicos.
Ya eres suscriptor? Conectar
Amorim rewarded for keeping faith with his eternal optimist
This was a thrilling, bruising game, and even a very funny one at times.
Amorim's winter warmer
United manager hails side's mentality in thrilling draw
Referee 'not at Premier League level', says Silva
A frustrated Marco Silva, the Fulham manager, described the performance of Darren Bond, the referee, as \"not at Premier League level\" after he opted not to dismiss the Ipswich defender Leif Davis during the sides' 2-2 draw.
Diallo grabs vital point as United step up at Anfield
An evening of some redemption for Manchester United was not without its customary slice of Anfield agony. Thirty seconds remained of a gripping battle when Joshua Zirkzee spurned the chance of hero status among fans who jeered him six days earlier to present Harry Maguire with a clear sight of Alisson's goal.
Fulham toil against strugglers again as Jiménez rescues point
Imagine where Fulham would be if they could see off the strugglers. They averted a rare defeat when Raúl Jiménez converted his second penalty of the afternoon at the start of added time but never did enough to overcome a well-drilled Ipswich.
Isidor proves worth to keep nervy Black Cats in the leading pack
Before kick-off Portsmouth's manager, John Mousinho, suggested all the pressure would be on Sunderland, leaving his players free to relax, improvise and unlock their inner creativity.
Australia make hay in Bumrah's absence to clinch series win
Boland skittles India to set up World Test Championship final against South Africa
Gauff turns tables on Swiatek before Fritz seals trophy for US
Americans defeat Poland to secure United Cup glory as Sabalenka wins Brisbane title
Rybakina speaks out in defence of suspended coach Vukov
Elena Rybakina, the 2022 Wimbledon champion, has insisted that her former coach Stefano Vukov did not mistreat her during their coaching partnership after it was revealed that Vukov is under investigation by the Women's Tennis Association.
Rangers drop points on road again despite Igamane treble
Hamza Igamane's hat-trick was not enough to secure victory for Rangers as Rocky Bushiri's late header earned a dramatic 3-3 draw for in-form Hibernian at Easter Road.