Under the triple lock, the state pension usually rises each April by inflation, wages or 2.5% - whichever is higher.
Office for National (ONS) Statistics figures released on Wednesday showed that Consumer Prices Index (CPI) inflation was at 6.7% last month. But wages have been rising at a higher rate, with a figure of 8.5% now expected to be used to calculate the state-pension rise.
A Department for Work and Pensions spokesperson said: "The government is committed to the triple lock. The secretary of state will conduct his statutory annual review of benefits and state pensions using the most recent data."
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