Rising powers inevitably precipitate a risis for other nations, especially rivals in their own neighbourhood and beyond as well. Most commentators have been preoccupied with the challenges China poses to the post-WWII world order, which indeed it does. That world order has been reshaped already and a SinoUN condominium has replaced it, though serious tensions remain over its contours. In this context, Taiwan is a critical issue because its control will redefine relative geopolitical primacy in the Indo-Pacific and its fate will also impact the position of Japan in oceans adjacent to it. This why Japan is girding its loins with the recently announced unprecedented defence preparedness. As a result, a military clash over Taiwan is entirely possible in the contest to define the geopolitics and geography of the condominium taking shape, in an atmosphere of increasing oscillating tensions.
The issue that is only indirectly being addressed and mostly in a superficial way is the geopolitical consequences and response to the projected rise of India in the next generation. India’s advance seems guaranteed though it could conceivably be derailed by its competitors. China clearly wishes to interdict India’s advance and so do Western powers, led by the Anglo-Americans. The Sino-American posture towards India’s rise merits particular and sustained scrutiny. China’s policy is clear now that it has replaced the AngloAmericans as the principal in control of the military cantonment called Pakistan, created by the departing colonial power Britain. Although only less than half of it remains intact and dismemberment is in prospect, there is a danger China will seize a huge swathe of territory de facto in it. The objects of China’s predatory attention are Pakistan occupied Kashmir and Gilgit and would pose a major security challenge to India.
Esta historia es de la edición February 12, 2023 de The Sunday Guardian.
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Esta historia es de la edición February 12, 2023 de The Sunday Guardian.
Comience su prueba gratuita de Magzter GOLD de 7 días para acceder a miles de historias premium seleccionadas y a más de 9,000 revistas y periódicos.
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