At its last policy meeting, the US Federal Reserve unexpectedly raised its expectations for inflation this year and even brought forward the timeframe on when it will next raise interest rates. The so-called dot plot of individual member expectations pointed to two hikes in 2023. This move has rattled the equity market. A couple of months back also we saw US bond yields inching up and the global equity market going down. It is widely accepted that a loose monetary policy along with higher fiscal spending and higher pent-up demand has stoked inflation globally. Conventional wisdom says that higher inflation is negative for stocks because it increases the cost of production or service due to rising input cost.
Besides, it also reduces the expectations of earnings growth, putting downward pressure on stock prices. Moreover rising inflation also leads to rising interest rate. While valuing the future cash flows from equity, higher interest rate will lead to lower valuation of equity. The graph below shows the relation between inflation (CPI) and Nifty PE. It is clearly visible that as inflation increases, the valuation of the equity market measured by PE declines. Therefore, if everything remains constant, rising inflation will reduce the value of your equity portfolio.
This story is from the {{IssueName}} edition of {{MagazineName}}.
Start your 7-day Magzter GOLD free trial to access thousands of curated premium stories, and 9,000+ magazines and newspapers.
Already a subscriber ? Sign In
This story is from the {{IssueName}} edition of {{MagazineName}}.
Start your 7-day Magzter GOLD free trial to access thousands of curated premium stories, and 9,000+ magazines and newspapers.
Already a subscriber? Sign In
How To Invest In An Ageing Bull Market
Bull rallies (periods when stock prices rise) and bear declines (periods when stock prices fall) are natural parts of stock market cycles, but they don't follow a fixed timeline.
Should You Entrust All Your Money To A Single AMC?
If you are a market participant, you have probably heard the quote 'don't put all your eggs in one basket', which suggests diversification. Investors often focus on diversifying across categories like large-cap, mid-cap and small-cap, but they may unintentionally overlook diversification across different AMCs. The question arises: is AMC-wise diversification really necessary? Rakesh Deshmukh takes a closer look at this scenario
Wild Swings Engulf Global Equities
U.S. stock markets experienced significant volatility. An early-week rally pushed the markets to new highs, but this momentum faded, primarily due to weaknesses in the tech sector. The major indices had a mixed finish with, S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed lower, while the Dow recorded a notable gain.
U.S. Elections and China's Economy Hamper Commodities
Commodity markets experienced selling pressure in the last fortnight, driven by uncertainties surrounding the upcoming U.S. presidential elections, concerns about the Chinese economy, and increased agricultural production in Brazil.
Wealth Building For Retirement Through Mutual Funds
Retirement is one of the most crucial and lifechanging phases. It marks a period where maintaining your lifestyle becomes paramount even though your regular income stops.
Mastering Investment with Information Ratio
Information Ratio helps in navigating the complexities of the investment landscape by assessing an active fund manager's performance. And though it has its limitations, it remains an essential part of the finance industry. The article explains what Information Ratio is and how investors can use it as another tool
Plan To Be Financially Independent
Each of us aspires to be financially independent as it ensures having enough resources to be self-sufficient and control our finances.
❝Technology is the new game-changer"
With a new breed of young investors entering the financial markets, it is the use of technology that is increasingly playing a major role in how investments are done and tracked. Anand Radhakrishnan, Managing Director, Sundaram Mutual Fund, shares his opinion about how this factor is turning into a significant tool and how it will shape the strategies of his company
What If Donald Trumps?
The potential election of Donald Trump as president in the U.S. carries significant implications for the Indian equity market. It could lead to changes in the global trade dynamics, in particular affecting the Indian IT sector while also raising inflation levels and leading to yet another revision in the visa programme for Indians who want to work in the US. The article takes a closer look at what may lie in store
Sectoral Gains Make A Mark
Benchmark indices continued their uptrend, reaching new record highs, although the pace has slowed as the broader markets faced selling pressures
