ICRA projects the volumes of the domestic MCE industry to decline in FY2025 following two consecutive years of strong growth viz. 26% in FY2023 and 24% in FY2024e. The reversal in this growth trend will be driven by a slowdown in the new project award activity in Q4 FY2024 and Q1 FY2025, as the Model Code of Conduct will remain in force during the Parliamentary Elections in April-May 2024 (till the announcement of results on June 4, 2024). Additionally, the aggregate revenues for ICRA's sample set companies are expected to contract by 9-12% and operating margins by 100-150 basis points in FY2025.
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