In your new book, Monetary Policy and Its Unintended Consequences, you offer a "sketch of a model" showing how monetary policy spillovers "cause leveraging, booms, and eventually busts in capital-receiving countries." How would you summarize that model?
Monetary policy is a blunt tool, as many have recognized. With an active financial sector, it also becomes a tool with uncertain consequences, since the financial sector can react to extreme monetary-policy settings in unpredictable-and undesirable-ways. For example, a sustained policy of low interest rates engenders risk-taking and leveraging by the financial sector, leaving it exposed to losses when the policy setting changes.
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