With less than 10 weeks to go before Iowa's caucuses launch the 2024 Republican nominating contest, much can still change. As it stands, the country appears to be hurtling toward an election few Americans want - but that might be one of the most consequential in modern US history.
Americans, surveys show, are disenchanted with their prospects for president, the state of the economy and the direction of the country.
"We have a situation where most Americans want both Trump and Biden not to run," said veteran Democratic pollster Stan Greenberg.
In surveys and in focus groups, said Frank Luntz, a prominent Republican pollster, voters are expressing a level of disdain for politics and the electoral process that he's never seen before.
"It's a feeling like everyone's being forgotten and disrespected," he said. "In 2016, that was primarily on the right, which is what led to Donald Trump. But people on the left now feel that way as well."
Trump is the frontrunner for the Republican nomination in 2024, even as he faces felony charges over his attempts to overturn 2020's election.
Trump faces 91 felony charges in four separate criminal cases that have effectively tightened, rather than loosened, his grip on the Republican party.
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