'Coin flip' as Harris and Trump vie for presidency
The Independent|November 06, 2024
Razor-thin margins separate two candidates, latest poll finds
ALASTAIR JAMIESON
'Coin flip' as Harris and Trump vie for presidency

Donald Trump declared he was “very confident” yesterday as he joined millions of other Americans in casting his vote in an election so tight that it may need to be settled in the courts. “It looks like Republicans have shown up in force,” the former president told reporters in Florida as counting began across the United States.

But Democrats appeared equally assured of victory as Kamala Harris visited party headquarters in Washington DC to make last-minute campaign calls, armed with a bag of crisps.

A handful of voters in seven key swing states will decide which candidate reaches the magic number of 270 electoral college votes.

Polling guru Nate Silver said the race is “literally closer than a coin flip”. In his final prediction model, Ms Harris wins the electoral college in 50.015 per cent of the 80,000 simulations, giving her a razor-thin lead. “When I say the odds in this year’s presidential race are about as close as you can possibly get to 50/50, I’m not exaggerating,” he said.

Election officials are braced for a flood of disinformation and legal claims, as Mr Trump continues to claim that the election will be rigged against him.

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