The first two indicators matter more, they say, as the pandemic is no longer in the early stages and populations - due to immunity from vaccines and infection can no longer be described as "100% susceptible" to the SARS-CoV-2 virus.
The experts feel the most sensitive indicators of an emergent variant mutation) are hospitalisation and deaths among the young and healthy; so a constant analysis of hospital admissions and fatalities, by age, would give better insight. "Whether regional spikes in cases alone should be used to define a new wave or if more focus on hospitalisation and mortality indicators should be used is a valid point," said Dr Sanjay Pujari, a member of the ICMR's national Covid task force.
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