A Lot of Bull
Business Today|July 12, 2020
Why the sharp recovery and sustained run in stock markets is built on weak fundamentals. Despite the fall, they are trading at double the valuation of the 2008 Lehman crash
RASHMI PRATAP
A Lot of Bull

Tight turns, steep slopes, sudden highs and inversions are characteristics of a roller coaster. Those have also been the hallmarks of the Indian stock markets for close to three months. From hitting a three-year low on March 23 with a 13 per cent fall to bouncing back just three days later, it has shown deep falls and sharp recoveries time and again.

But don’t get fooled by that. There may be a storm brewing beneath the calm. After all, this sharp recovery is built on weak corporate and economic fundamentals and huge uncertainty in the immediate future.

With India’s economy projected to shrink 6.8 per cent in FY21, according to SBI Ecowrap (it grew slowest in 11 years at 3.1 per cent in the March quarter), early bird corporate results showing sharply shrinking top lines and bottom lines, stock markets are set to lose the only basis on which they have been rallying — the hope of a ‘V’ shaped recovery.

The optimism is dimmed further by rising coronavirus cases in India and fear of a second wave in the US, the world’s largest economy, which has led to a selloff in S&P 500, the global barometer for equity markets, as well.

Add to this the lockdown-triggered defaults feared in housing, credit card, personal and corporate loans, their impact on non-performing assets (NPAs) of banks and non-banking finance companies (NBFCs), and the stock market rally appears to be on a very, very weak wicket. “The economy is in shock. All indicators are showing that the situation is very bad. Fundamentals of the stock market story are very weak,” says Dhananjay Sinha, Head of Research and Equity Strategist, Systematix Group.

この記事は Business Today の July 12, 2020 版に掲載されています。

7 日間の Magzter GOLD 無料トライアルを開始して、何千もの厳選されたプレミアム ストーリー、9,000 以上の雑誌や新聞にアクセスしてください。

この記事は Business Today の July 12, 2020 版に掲載されています。

7 日間の Magzter GOLD 無料トライアルを開始して、何千もの厳選されたプレミアム ストーリー、9,000 以上の雑誌や新聞にアクセスしてください。

BUSINESS TODAYのその他の記事すべて表示
"Moving to cloud helped us grow❞
Business Today India

"Moving to cloud helped us grow❞

What was the problem you were grappling with?

time-read
1 min  |
November 24, 2024
She's Got Time
Business Today India

She's Got Time

MORE WOMEN ARE BECOMING WATCH CONNOISSEURS, SEEKING OUT BOTH JEWELLED AND TECHNICAL WATCHES FOR THEIR STYLE AND CRAFTSMANSHIP

time-read
3 分  |
November 24, 2024
RISING STAR
Business Today India

RISING STAR

PARUL GULATI IS a name that's been steadily gaining prominence in the Indian entertainment industry after she appeared on season 2 of Shark Tank in 2023. She has become a multifaceted personality who effortlessly transitions between acting and entrepreneurship.

time-read
1 min  |
November 24, 2024
Building on a Legacy
Business Today India

Building on a Legacy

WHEN ZAHABIYA KHORAKIWALA stepped into her role as Managing Director of Wockhardt Hospitals over a decade ago, she confronted formidable challenges that have since turned into achievements.

time-read
1 min  |
November 24, 2024
LEADER IN INNOVATION
Business Today India

LEADER IN INNOVATION

AS FEDEX'S PRESIDENT (Middle East, Indian subcontinent and Africa), Kami Viswanathan has a lot on her plate.

time-read
1 min  |
November 24, 2024
WAITING IN THE WINGS
Business Today India

WAITING IN THE WINGS

Here are those who missed out as they have not yet completed a year in office; they'll be strong contenders in 2025

time-read
1 min  |
November 24, 2024
A DECENT PROPOSAL
Business Today India

A DECENT PROPOSAL

IN TODAY'S WORLD OF TRYING TO CREATE AN EQUITABLE SPACE, BOTH MEN AND WOMEN CONTRIBUTE TO THEIR HOUSEHOLDS. WOMEN ARE ENCOURAGED TO HAVE THEIR OWN SAVINGS POOL AND INVESTMENT ROUTINE. GIVEN THIS, HOW SHOULD FUTURE BRIDES APPROACH FINANCIAL PLANNING?

time-read
5 分  |
November 24, 2024
Women and the STEM Bias
Business Today India

Women and the STEM Bias

EMPOWERING WOMEN IN STEM WILL NOT ONLY BENEFIT INDIVIDUALS, BUT ALSO STRENGTHEN THE ENTIRE INDUSTRY, DRIVING INNOVATION AND PROGRESS.

time-read
3 分  |
November 24, 2024
ROCKET WOMEN
Business Today India

ROCKET WOMEN

WOMEN IN INDIA ARE NOT ONLY VENTURING INTO SPACE BUT ARE ALSO STARTING TO SPEARHEAD THE COUNTRY'S EFFORTS IN THE GLOBAL SPACE RACE.

time-read
6 分  |
November 24, 2024
ONE STEP FORWARD
Business Today India

ONE STEP FORWARD

THE NUMBER OF WOMEN INDEPENDENT DIRECTORS IS GROWING STEADILY, BUT IT'S A LONG WAY FROM GENDER PARITY. MUCH MORE NEEDS TO BE DONE TO BREAK THE GLASS CEILING IN BOARDROOMS.

time-read
6 分  |
November 24, 2024