Should Market Valuation Define Your Investments?
Dalal Street Investment Journal|October 25, 2021
To understand the impact of future returns of investment made when the valuation of the market is high, our analysts studied the returns provided by UTI Index fund during different periods. The conclusion is interesting – especially if you are undecided about whether to invest through SIP or in lump sum
Should Market Valuation Define Your Investments?

The Indian equity market touched an all-time high of 18,350 on October 14, up by 30 per cent from the start of the year and 56 per cent in the last one year. The market has remained one of the best performing equity markets globally year till date. The factors that are making the market move higher and higher are sequential recovery of key high-frequency indicators such as Services PMI, GST collection and Google Mobility

Data, which are all trending higher on a month-on-month basis. The market trading at all time has also resulted in an increase in volatility represented by India VIX, which has increased recently.

Higher Valuation

Besides volatility, the valuation of the market also looks stretched on different valuation matrices. For example, the valuation matrix used by Warren Buffet to gauge the overall valuation of the market is total market cap (TMC) relative to the GDP of the country. This gives a good estimation of the forward returns by the equity market. Currently, the TMC to GDP ratio for India stands at 131 per cent compared to the long term average of 71 per cent. The last time we saw such higher valuation was at the end 2007 and start of 2008 following which we witnessed subdued returns for the next one year.

この記事は Dalal Street Investment Journal の October 25, 2021 版に掲載されています。

7 日間の Magzter GOLD 無料トライアルを開始して、何千もの厳選されたプレミアム ストーリー、9,000 以上の雑誌や新聞にアクセスしてください。

この記事は Dalal Street Investment Journal の October 25, 2021 版に掲載されています。

7 日間の Magzter GOLD 無料トライアルを開始して、何千もの厳選されたプレミアム ストーリー、9,000 以上の雑誌や新聞にアクセスしてください。

DALAL STREET INVESTMENT JOURNALのその他の記事すべて表示
How To Invest In An Ageing Bull Market
Dalal Street Investment Journal

How To Invest In An Ageing Bull Market

Bull rallies (periods when stock prices rise) and bear declines (periods when stock prices fall) are natural parts of stock market cycles, but they don't follow a fixed timeline.

time-read
5 分  |
July 29, 2024
Should You Entrust All Your Money To A Single AMC?
Dalal Street Investment Journal

Should You Entrust All Your Money To A Single AMC?

If you are a market participant, you have probably heard the quote 'don't put all your eggs in one basket', which suggests diversification. Investors often focus on diversifying across categories like large-cap, mid-cap and small-cap, but they may unintentionally overlook diversification across different AMCs. The question arises: is AMC-wise diversification really necessary? Rakesh Deshmukh takes a closer look at this scenario

time-read
7 分  |
July 29, 2024
Wild Swings Engulf Global Equities
Dalal Street Investment Journal

Wild Swings Engulf Global Equities

U.S. stock markets experienced significant volatility. An early-week rally pushed the markets to new highs, but this momentum faded, primarily due to weaknesses in the tech sector. The major indices had a mixed finish with, S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed lower, while the Dow recorded a notable gain.

time-read
2 分  |
July 29, 2024
U.S. Elections and China's Economy Hamper Commodities
Dalal Street Investment Journal

U.S. Elections and China's Economy Hamper Commodities

Commodity markets experienced selling pressure in the last fortnight, driven by uncertainties surrounding the upcoming U.S. presidential elections, concerns about the Chinese economy, and increased agricultural production in Brazil.

time-read
2 分  |
July 29, 2024
Wealth Building For Retirement Through Mutual Funds
Dalal Street Investment Journal

Wealth Building For Retirement Through Mutual Funds

Retirement is one of the most crucial and lifechanging phases. It marks a period where maintaining your lifestyle becomes paramount even though your regular income stops.

time-read
3 分  |
July 29, 2024
Mastering Investment with Information Ratio
Dalal Street Investment Journal

Mastering Investment with Information Ratio

Information Ratio helps in navigating the complexities of the investment landscape by assessing an active fund manager's performance. And though it has its limitations, it remains an essential part of the finance industry. The article explains what Information Ratio is and how investors can use it as another tool

time-read
6 分  |
July 29, 2024
Plan To Be Financially Independent
Dalal Street Investment Journal

Plan To Be Financially Independent

Each of us aspires to be financially independent as it ensures having enough resources to be self-sufficient and control our finances.

time-read
2 分  |
July 29, 2024
❝Technology is the new game-changer"
Dalal Street Investment Journal

❝Technology is the new game-changer"

With a new breed of young investors entering the financial markets, it is the use of technology that is increasingly playing a major role in how investments are done and tracked. Anand Radhakrishnan, Managing Director, Sundaram Mutual Fund, shares his opinion about how this factor is turning into a significant tool and how it will shape the strategies of his company

time-read
5 分  |
July 29, 2024
What If Donald Trumps?
Dalal Street Investment Journal

What If Donald Trumps?

The potential election of Donald Trump as president in the U.S. carries significant implications for the Indian equity market. It could lead to changes in the global trade dynamics, in particular affecting the Indian IT sector while also raising inflation levels and leading to yet another revision in the visa programme for Indians who want to work in the US. The article takes a closer look at what may lie in store

time-read
6 分  |
July 29, 2024
Sectoral Gains Make A Mark
Dalal Street Investment Journal

Sectoral Gains Make A Mark

Benchmark indices continued their uptrend, reaching new record highs, although the pace has slowed as the broader markets faced selling pressures

time-read
2 分  |
July 29, 2024