US Federal Reserve has indicated that they are prepared to move ahead with multiple 50 basis points interest rate hikes in the coming months. How will this affect the Indian debt markets?
Central banks globally, including the Federal Reserve, are likely to be on a rate hike path to get inflation back under control. The food and commodities-led inflation is now percolating into a broad-based inflation which if not controlled may result in reducing potential growth. Therefore, even if short-term growth potential is sacrificed, central banks will not shy away from hiking rates. While inflation is the main reason for the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to raise rates, they will also have to do it in order to balance the resultant impact on currency. This would mean that the Indian debt markets shall continue to see higher rates, flatter yield curve and lower liquidity till real rates become substantially positive
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