The Russian leader has a political motive to deal harshly with his maverick warlord or risk appearing weak, a cardinal sin in Kremlin politics. And the Russian leader has never been known as one to forgive a betrayal.
The extraordinary events of last weekend - Prigozhin's armed mutiny, Putin's call for "brutal" reprisals, an 11th-hour peace deal - might appear to have resolved themselves. The leader of the Wagner mercenary group halted his mutiny and march on the Russian capital, apparently in exchange for an amnesty and exile in Belarus. On Tuesday, Russian media reported that the FSB had closed its investigation into the events, and that Wagner would hand over its equipment to the security services.
And yet, few believe this is the end of the affair. At some point, Prigozhin will surely have to pick up the tab for his foray into revolutionary politics. And Putin must make good on the threats that he issued on national television last Saturday or make an embarrassing about-face during the most dangerous days of his 23 years as Russia's supreme leader.
Prigozhin's uprising has seriously damaged the prestige of Russia's army, which inexplicably failed to stop the insurrection, and undermined the sense that Russia can remain stable even as it unleashes daily violence on Ukraine.
この記事は The Guardian Weekly の June 30, 2023 版に掲載されています。
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この記事は The Guardian Weekly の June 30, 2023 版に掲載されています。
7 日間の Magzter GOLD 無料トライアルを開始して、何千もの厳選されたプレミアム ストーリー、9,000 以上の雑誌や新聞にアクセスしてください。
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