The GDP growth rate in FY24 exceeded estimates, growing at 8.2 per cent year-over-year (YoY). The banks remained well-capitalised, with 33 out of 35 banks having a capital-to-risk-weighted assets ratio (CRAR) of over 15 per cent, well above the 9 per cent regulatory requirement. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) maintained a status quo on rates for the eighth consecutive time in June 2024's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting.
It has forecasted GDP growth at 7.2 per cent for FY25. Notably, the MPC's voting pattern on rate cuts has changed, with two out of six members voting in favour of a rate cut in June due to easing inflation compared to only one member in the previous meeting. This suggests the possibility of a rate cut in H2FY25.
Inflation appears to be easing, with India's retail inflation at its lowest in a year at 4.75 per cent in May 2024, and CPI inflation moderating to 4.8 per cent in April 2024 from 4.9 per cent in March and 5.1 per cent in February.
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