Same old story
Financial Express Mumbai|December 07, 2024
RBI seems to be willing to allow growth to stay slower for longer

The Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) commitment to taming inflation and lowering it closer to the 4% mark is creditable, but its optimism on growth is befuddling.

The RBI has had to pare its gross domestic product (GDP) growth forecast for FY25 by a good 60 basis points to 6.6% after the underwhelming 5.4% year-on-year (y-o-y) growth in Q2. The expected 7% rebound in the second half could be missed given that credit flows to the economy—especially consumer loans—have slowed sharply; consumption by middle-income households in urban India remains weak and a delayed rabi sowing could hurt the rural recovery. Also, to what extent government spending will pick up is not clear as tax collections are slowing. Even otherwise, the fiscal impulse in the FY25 Budget was not very strong to begin with.

この記事は Financial Express Mumbai の December 07, 2024 版に掲載されています。

7 日間の Magzter GOLD 無料トライアルを開始して、何千もの厳選されたプレミアム ストーリー、9,000 以上の雑誌や新聞にアクセスしてください。

この記事は Financial Express Mumbai の December 07, 2024 版に掲載されています。

7 日間の Magzter GOLD 無料トライアルを開始して、何千もの厳選されたプレミアム ストーリー、9,000 以上の雑誌や新聞にアクセスしてください。

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