In a move that could have far-reaching consequences for the world economy, Trump has promised imposition of large-scale tariffs as a bargaining tool to buttress US's economic dominance and well-being vis-à-vis other countries. Irrespective of what Trump might or might not do, his second presidency is likely to destabilize the rules-based international economic order significantly.
For the Indian economy, the consequences of a Trump presidency will mostly be via second-order effects.
China+1, or the global trend of countries and companies diversifying production facilities away from China in the wake of its tensions with the US, has been an important driver of positive sentiment around India's future economic prowess. Will a more mercantilist White House disrupt this process and major exporting countries and companies, re-evaluate their strategies around Trump's geoeconomics? It is difficult to answer this question as 2024 comes to an end. If Trump's past stint is any indication, flip-flops might be more likely than a permanent policy direction.
この記事は Hindustan Times の December 31, 2024 版に掲載されています。
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この記事は Hindustan Times の December 31, 2024 版に掲載されています。
7 日間の Magzter GOLD 無料トライアルを開始して、何千もの厳選されたプレミアム ストーリー、9,000 以上の雑誌や新聞にアクセスしてください。
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