Every economic crisis tends to also become a crisis in economics-as events throw an unsparing light on the gaps in our knowledge of how an economy works. It is not different this time round either.
Christine Lagarde, a former managing director of the International Monetary Fund who is now president of the European Central Bank, did not pull any punches in a speech she delivered at the annual World Economic Forum jamboree at Davos this month. She attacked economists as a tribal clique that does not reach out to experts outside their narrow world. She then said that part of this certitude may have to do with the models that economists depend on to make sense of the world.
Earlier, in August 2023, Lagarde, a lawyer by training, spoke on how policymakers need to negotiate what she described as an age of shifts and breaks. "We rely on past regularities to understand the distribution of shocks we face, how they will transmit through the economy, and how policies can best respond to them. But if we are in a new age, past regularities may no longer be a good guide for how the economy works." She called for clarity, flexibility and humility.
Two alternatives are worth considering-as complements to rather than replacements for the existing statistical models that economists use. The first is building alternative scenarios, or a set of possibilities that tell us what may happen in the future, rather than certainty about what will happen. The Anglo-Dutch energy giant Shell had pioneered this approach in the 1970s, another decade of dramatic shifts in the global economy as well as geopolitics.
ãã®èšäºã¯ Mint Mumbai ã® January 24, 2024 çã«æ²èŒãããŠããŸãã
7 æ¥éã® Magzter GOLD ç¡æãã©ã€ã¢ã«ãéå§ããŠãäœåãã®å³éžããããã¬ãã¢ã ã¹ããŒãªãŒã9,000 以äžã®éèªãæ°èã«ã¢ã¯ã»ã¹ããŠãã ããã
ãã§ã«è³Œèªè ã§ã ?  ãµã€ã³ã€ã³
ãã®èšäºã¯ Mint Mumbai ã® January 24, 2024 çã«æ²èŒãããŠããŸãã
7 æ¥éã® Magzter GOLD ç¡æãã©ã€ã¢ã«ãéå§ããŠãäœåãã®å³éžããããã¬ãã¢ã ã¹ããŒãªãŒã9,000 以äžã®éèªãæ°èã«ã¢ã¯ã»ã¹ããŠãã ããã
ãã§ã«è³Œèªè ã§ã? ãµã€ã³ã€ã³
Air fares in Sep quarter rise, Q3 may be worse
Multiple public holidays have sparked demand for short trips to domestic destinations, said Indiver Rastogi, president & group head of global business travel at Thomas Cook (India) and SOTC Travel. This year, Independence Day, Janmashtami, Onam, Eid and Ganesh Chat-
Yes, the world is hotter than it has been in 2,000 years or so
A scientific study of tree rings confirms global warming is for real
As a non-resident, is there a tax liability on exiting Indian MFs?
I have been investing in mutual funds for the past four years. Last year, I moved to Dubai and am currently a non-resident Indian NRD). Say, if] exit all my mutual fund investments now, would I have zero tax liability? âName withheld on request.
Mergers off but PSB privatization still on
T 'he Centre doesn't have any plan to merge public sector banks (PSBS) in FY25, though it will not ditch plans to privatize PSBs during the fiscal, two people aware of the matter said.
Think Tesla Is In Trouble? Pity Even More Its Wannabe EV Rivals
The combined market value of six prominent wannabes hit 400bn in 2021, but today they are worth 65bn
Has The Growth Of Our Economy Translated Into Domestic Jobs?
While the covid shock and other setbacks got in the way, data indicates that employment in India is on a firm recovery path
Financial Sector Reforms Plan To Be Unveiled Post Elections
The govt will cut its stake in five PSBs this fiscal to comply with Sebiâs listing guidelines
Generative AI Is Not Ubiquitous In The Business World-Not Yet
While some AI tools racked up users, some firms are proceeding with caution, or not at all
Wiproâs CEO switch was not about its share price
Shareholder value data does not explain the firm's change on top. In a flux-filled field like infotech, business performance counts for more and Wipro's challenge still seems quite steep
How not to blow a major chunk of your travel budget on visas
Rejection of visas can impact your travel costs, especially when you have to cancel flight and hotel bookings