Interest Rate Reversal & Market Reaction
Dalal Street Investment Journal|January 15, 2024
Over the course of the year, the RBI has successfully mitigated inflationary pressures, all the while maintaining robust economic growth. Diverging from the trend of rate increases observed in 2022, the year 2023 has been marked by a predominantly stable interest rate environment. Following the Federal Reserve’s surprising decision to maintain interest rates while hinting at possible rate reductions in 2024, taking a more dovish stance, we believe the RBI might consider cutting its rates. How will this transition impact the investors? The report, with historical facts, draws some conclusions
Interest Rate Reversal & Market Reaction

In the closing month of 2023, the global equity markets surged in unison, marking one of the most impressive performances since 2019. This momentum followed a robust two-month rally, fuelled by investor optimism, predicting a conclusion to the series of interest rate hikes and anticipating swift cuts by major central banks in the upcoming year. The U.S. Federal Reserve’s mid-December policy projections reinforced this trajectory, signalling substantial rate reductions on the horizon. Reflecting this wave of optimism, the MSCI All-Country World Equity Index, encompassing both developed and emerging market equities, soared by 4.7 per cent in December 2023, following a staggering 9.07 per cent surge in November 2023, marking the most remarkable monthly return since 2010. faster-than-expected decline in inflation across Western economies. The prevailing consensus about a steep decrease in borrowing expenses in 2024 has ignited a bond market rally, thereby enticing investors towards equities in pursuit of enhanced returns. Notably, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, a key benchmark for global financial assets inversely linked to bond prices, has plummeted to 3.87 per cent from its previous position of over 5 per cent in October, mirroring the continued descent of inflation.

The market sentiment now anticipates six projected rate cuts by both the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank by the close of 2024, which is a stark reversal from prior apprehensions of enduring elevated rates. The Indian equity market performed even better. The Nifty 500, encompassing large-cap, mid-cap and small-cap stocks, gained by 15.07 per cent in the last two months of 2023. In addition to the trigger by the U.S. Federal Reserve, the Indian equity market had its own idiosyncratic triggers.

Denne historien er fra January 15, 2024-utgaven av Dalal Street Investment Journal.

Start din 7-dagers gratis prøveperiode på Magzter GOLD for å få tilgang til tusenvis av utvalgte premiumhistorier og 9000+ magasiner og aviser.

Denne historien er fra January 15, 2024-utgaven av Dalal Street Investment Journal.

Start din 7-dagers gratis prøveperiode på Magzter GOLD for å få tilgang til tusenvis av utvalgte premiumhistorier og 9000+ magasiner og aviser.

FLERE HISTORIER FRA DALAL STREET INVESTMENT JOURNALSe alt
How To Invest In An Ageing Bull Market
Dalal Street Investment Journal

How To Invest In An Ageing Bull Market

Bull rallies (periods when stock prices rise) and bear declines (periods when stock prices fall) are natural parts of stock market cycles, but they don't follow a fixed timeline.

time-read
5 mins  |
July 29, 2024
Should You Entrust All Your Money To A Single AMC?
Dalal Street Investment Journal

Should You Entrust All Your Money To A Single AMC?

If you are a market participant, you have probably heard the quote 'don't put all your eggs in one basket', which suggests diversification. Investors often focus on diversifying across categories like large-cap, mid-cap and small-cap, but they may unintentionally overlook diversification across different AMCs. The question arises: is AMC-wise diversification really necessary? Rakesh Deshmukh takes a closer look at this scenario

time-read
7 mins  |
July 29, 2024
Wild Swings Engulf Global Equities
Dalal Street Investment Journal

Wild Swings Engulf Global Equities

U.S. stock markets experienced significant volatility. An early-week rally pushed the markets to new highs, but this momentum faded, primarily due to weaknesses in the tech sector. The major indices had a mixed finish with, S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed lower, while the Dow recorded a notable gain.

time-read
2 mins  |
July 29, 2024
U.S. Elections and China's Economy Hamper Commodities
Dalal Street Investment Journal

U.S. Elections and China's Economy Hamper Commodities

Commodity markets experienced selling pressure in the last fortnight, driven by uncertainties surrounding the upcoming U.S. presidential elections, concerns about the Chinese economy, and increased agricultural production in Brazil.

time-read
2 mins  |
July 29, 2024
Wealth Building For Retirement Through Mutual Funds
Dalal Street Investment Journal

Wealth Building For Retirement Through Mutual Funds

Retirement is one of the most crucial and lifechanging phases. It marks a period where maintaining your lifestyle becomes paramount even though your regular income stops.

time-read
3 mins  |
July 29, 2024
Mastering Investment with Information Ratio
Dalal Street Investment Journal

Mastering Investment with Information Ratio

Information Ratio helps in navigating the complexities of the investment landscape by assessing an active fund manager's performance. And though it has its limitations, it remains an essential part of the finance industry. The article explains what Information Ratio is and how investors can use it as another tool

time-read
6 mins  |
July 29, 2024
Plan To Be Financially Independent
Dalal Street Investment Journal

Plan To Be Financially Independent

Each of us aspires to be financially independent as it ensures having enough resources to be self-sufficient and control our finances.

time-read
2 mins  |
July 29, 2024
❝Technology is the new game-changer"
Dalal Street Investment Journal

❝Technology is the new game-changer"

With a new breed of young investors entering the financial markets, it is the use of technology that is increasingly playing a major role in how investments are done and tracked. Anand Radhakrishnan, Managing Director, Sundaram Mutual Fund, shares his opinion about how this factor is turning into a significant tool and how it will shape the strategies of his company

time-read
5 mins  |
July 29, 2024
What If Donald Trumps?
Dalal Street Investment Journal

What If Donald Trumps?

The potential election of Donald Trump as president in the U.S. carries significant implications for the Indian equity market. It could lead to changes in the global trade dynamics, in particular affecting the Indian IT sector while also raising inflation levels and leading to yet another revision in the visa programme for Indians who want to work in the US. The article takes a closer look at what may lie in store

time-read
6 mins  |
July 29, 2024
Sectoral Gains Make A Mark
Dalal Street Investment Journal

Sectoral Gains Make A Mark

Benchmark indices continued their uptrend, reaching new record highs, although the pace has slowed as the broader markets faced selling pressures

time-read
2 mins  |
July 29, 2024