Pranay Sinha, Senior Fund Manager (Fixed Income), Nippon India Mutual Fund
Dalal Street Investment Journal|June 06, 2022
Remain Cautious Till Further Clarity On The Evolution Of Macroeconomic Variables
Pranay Sinha, Senior Fund Manager (Fixed Income), Nippon India Mutual Fund

What’s your outlook on the Indian debt markets and yield curve? Do you expect high levels of volatility to persist over the next few months?

In the last one year we have seen a very sharp and one-way move in the fixed income markets across the curve. While the 10y has moved by 140 basis points in that period, the 1y point has moved by more than 200 basis points. So if we talk in terms of signals and noise we would find that last year has had very little noise and more of a one-way signal. That’s something which we expect to change going forward. Most of the known unknowns are priced in by the markets. Hence, going ahead, we will see more of two-way movement.

The ratio of signal and noise will be dominated by noise which would mean that we will see lots of volatility without any similar one-way movement in yield as we had seen the previous year. The only caveat to the above scenario is that we are treading on unknown territory in terms of the macro economic variables. Globally, in general, the dynamics of growth and inflation are unlike anything we have seen in recent times, and this adds to the unpredictability in fixed income markets. It also compels us to add a bit of caution to the view we have elucidated previously.

Can you elucidate how the impending rate hikes by the Federal Reserve will affect the Indian debt markets?

Denne historien er fra June 06, 2022-utgaven av Dalal Street Investment Journal.

Start din 7-dagers gratis prøveperiode på Magzter GOLD for å få tilgang til tusenvis av utvalgte premiumhistorier og 9000+ magasiner og aviser.

Denne historien er fra June 06, 2022-utgaven av Dalal Street Investment Journal.

Start din 7-dagers gratis prøveperiode på Magzter GOLD for å få tilgang til tusenvis av utvalgte premiumhistorier og 9000+ magasiner og aviser.

FLERE HISTORIER FRA DALAL STREET INVESTMENT JOURNALSe alt
How To Invest In An Ageing Bull Market
Dalal Street Investment Journal

How To Invest In An Ageing Bull Market

Bull rallies (periods when stock prices rise) and bear declines (periods when stock prices fall) are natural parts of stock market cycles, but they don't follow a fixed timeline.

time-read
5 mins  |
July 29, 2024
Should You Entrust All Your Money To A Single AMC?
Dalal Street Investment Journal

Should You Entrust All Your Money To A Single AMC?

If you are a market participant, you have probably heard the quote 'don't put all your eggs in one basket', which suggests diversification. Investors often focus on diversifying across categories like large-cap, mid-cap and small-cap, but they may unintentionally overlook diversification across different AMCs. The question arises: is AMC-wise diversification really necessary? Rakesh Deshmukh takes a closer look at this scenario

time-read
7 mins  |
July 29, 2024
Wild Swings Engulf Global Equities
Dalal Street Investment Journal

Wild Swings Engulf Global Equities

U.S. stock markets experienced significant volatility. An early-week rally pushed the markets to new highs, but this momentum faded, primarily due to weaknesses in the tech sector. The major indices had a mixed finish with, S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed lower, while the Dow recorded a notable gain.

time-read
2 mins  |
July 29, 2024
U.S. Elections and China's Economy Hamper Commodities
Dalal Street Investment Journal

U.S. Elections and China's Economy Hamper Commodities

Commodity markets experienced selling pressure in the last fortnight, driven by uncertainties surrounding the upcoming U.S. presidential elections, concerns about the Chinese economy, and increased agricultural production in Brazil.

time-read
2 mins  |
July 29, 2024
Wealth Building For Retirement Through Mutual Funds
Dalal Street Investment Journal

Wealth Building For Retirement Through Mutual Funds

Retirement is one of the most crucial and lifechanging phases. It marks a period where maintaining your lifestyle becomes paramount even though your regular income stops.

time-read
3 mins  |
July 29, 2024
Mastering Investment with Information Ratio
Dalal Street Investment Journal

Mastering Investment with Information Ratio

Information Ratio helps in navigating the complexities of the investment landscape by assessing an active fund manager's performance. And though it has its limitations, it remains an essential part of the finance industry. The article explains what Information Ratio is and how investors can use it as another tool

time-read
6 mins  |
July 29, 2024
Plan To Be Financially Independent
Dalal Street Investment Journal

Plan To Be Financially Independent

Each of us aspires to be financially independent as it ensures having enough resources to be self-sufficient and control our finances.

time-read
2 mins  |
July 29, 2024
❝Technology is the new game-changer"
Dalal Street Investment Journal

❝Technology is the new game-changer"

With a new breed of young investors entering the financial markets, it is the use of technology that is increasingly playing a major role in how investments are done and tracked. Anand Radhakrishnan, Managing Director, Sundaram Mutual Fund, shares his opinion about how this factor is turning into a significant tool and how it will shape the strategies of his company

time-read
5 mins  |
July 29, 2024
What If Donald Trumps?
Dalal Street Investment Journal

What If Donald Trumps?

The potential election of Donald Trump as president in the U.S. carries significant implications for the Indian equity market. It could lead to changes in the global trade dynamics, in particular affecting the Indian IT sector while also raising inflation levels and leading to yet another revision in the visa programme for Indians who want to work in the US. The article takes a closer look at what may lie in store

time-read
6 mins  |
July 29, 2024
Sectoral Gains Make A Mark
Dalal Street Investment Journal

Sectoral Gains Make A Mark

Benchmark indices continued their uptrend, reaching new record highs, although the pace has slowed as the broader markets faced selling pressures

time-read
2 mins  |
July 29, 2024