In early November, I wrote a piece suggesting that the Indian economy was functioning as expected: Muddling along. It rarely falls into a full-blown recession but it also struggles to achieve sustained acceleration. This observation was immediately illustrated when India's GDP (gross domestic product) growth, after reaching 8.2 per cent in FY24, fell to 6.6 per cent in Q1 (the first quarter) of FY25 and then further to 5.4 per cent in Q2. Growth is unlikely to return to 8 per cent anytime soon, but it also seems unlikely to dip below 5 per cent. If the original "Hindu rate of growth" was 3.5 per cent (the average annual GDP growth between 1950 and 1980), the new Hindu rate of growth is 5.5 per cent. The official reasons for the economic slowdown in the last quarter are varied: One, the Reserve Bank of India's restrictive monetary policy; two, lower government capital expenditure (capex) due to the ongoing general and state elections; and three, a slowdown in private-sector capex due to domestic political factors, global uncertainties, excess capacity, and fears of dumping in India.
Denne historien er fra December 30, 2024-utgaven av Business Standard.
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Denne historien er fra December 30, 2024-utgaven av Business Standard.
Start din 7-dagers gratis prøveperiode på Magzter GOLD for å få tilgang til tusenvis av utvalgte premiumhistorier og 9000+ magasiner og aviser.
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NPS FUND RETURNS Equity-debt allocation: Let risk appetite, not past-yr returns, decide
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Index AUM criteria to limit MF Lite's ambit
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Mumbai realty firms to build on demand, robust pipeline
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Mkts open in green for 7th year running
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Sebi simplifies disclosure norms for listed entities with integrated filing
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Stock Consolidates, Outlook Bright
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NSE enforces mechanism for brokers to curb market abuse
The National Stock Exchange (NSE) has issued a guidance note for stock brokers to ensure prevention and detection of fraud or market abuse.
ITC Hotels to go the Jio Fin way
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Air India Becomes 1st Indian Airline to Offer Wi-Fi on Domestic Flights
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2024 Warmest Year in India Since 1901: IMD
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