India Meteorological Department (IMD) predicted a normal monsoon this year, offering hope to millions of farmers a day after private forecaster Skymet warned of below-normal rainfall following the development of the El Nino weather pattern linked to droughts.
The government forecaster said a positive Indian Ocean Dipole and lower northern hemisphere snow cover would likely counter the effects of the El Niño condition.
The southwest monsoon, which usually hits the southern tip of Kerala around 1 June and retreats in September, is expected to total 96% of the long-term average this year with an error margin of 5%, M. Ravichandran, secretary at the ministry of earth sciences, told reporters on Tuesday.
The long-term average (LPA) of rainfall is the precipitation recorded over a particular region for a given interval (like a month or season) average over a long period like 30 years or 50 years, according to the IMD definition.
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