Trump lead narrows among crucial voters, poll analysis shows
The Guardian|June 08, 2024
After a Manhattan jury found Donald Trump guilty on 34 felony counts last week, Republicans rallied around the former president, insisting the verdict would only damage Joe Biden's standing in the presidential election.
Joan E Greve
Trump lead narrows among crucial voters, poll analysis shows

But some new polling data casts doubt upon that argument, as a small but crucial number of Americans in key voting blocs appear to be moving towards Biden in the aftermath of the verdict.

According to a post-verdict analysis of nearly 2,000 interviews with voters who previously participated in New York Times/Siena College surveys, Trump's advantage over the president has narrowed from three points to one point.

That shift may seem insignificant, but it could prove decisive in a close presidential election, as is expected in this year's contest. In 2020, just 44,000 votes across three battleground states prevented a tie in the electoral college.

Perhaps more worrisome for Trump is the specific areas where he appears to be bleeding support.

According to the survey analysis, disengaged Democratic-leaning voters and those who disliked both Trump and Biden were more likely to say that the verdict made them reconsider their options in the election.

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