AAP's Bitter Revdi?
The Times of India Hyderabad|November 09, 2022
By championing freebies, Kejriwal may have eased BJP’s path to a comfortable win in Gujarat
Asim Ali
AAP's Bitter Revdi?

In the last Gujarat election, the decisive intervention from PM Modi came only in the final throes of campaigning, to reverse a Congress surge. This time around, the decisive intervention seems to have been made long before the poll bugle was sounded. The freebies debate, started by Modi, and latched on to by Kejriwal, has ended up slicing the opposition right down the middle, and likely cleared the way for a comfortable BJP victory.

Before explaining the point, let’s quickly glance through the electoral picture painted by the latest Lokniti-CSDS survey.

● BJP appears to have held on to its near majority support.

● Congress and AAP are barely managing to cross 20% vote share.

● In a first-past-the-post system, this kind of voter break-up usually means a landslide, in this case for BJP.

● The reason AAP’s advances into Gujarat have cut Congress into half, while leaving BJP’s support base largely untouched, is clear from the survey data.

● The vast majority of AAP votes are coming from traditional Congress constituencies: the backward communities (Kolis, Dalits, tribals, Muslims) along with poorer sections of electorate. AAP in Gujarat therefore seems less effective than it was in Delhi and Punjab, where it cannibalised the support base of both established parties, not just a single party.

● Why has there been no signs of the emergence of an umbrella AAP coalition in Gujarat?

● Why has AAP failed so far to make any significant inroads into the constituencies loyal to BJP? These include not just upper castes and Patidars, but also a large middle-class constituency.

Denne historien er fra November 09, 2022-utgaven av The Times of India Hyderabad.

Start din 7-dagers gratis prøveperiode på Magzter GOLD for å få tilgang til tusenvis av utvalgte premiumhistorier og 9000+ magasiner og aviser.

Denne historien er fra November 09, 2022-utgaven av The Times of India Hyderabad.

Start din 7-dagers gratis prøveperiode på Magzter GOLD for å få tilgang til tusenvis av utvalgte premiumhistorier og 9000+ magasiner og aviser.

FLERE HISTORIER FRA THE TIMES OF INDIA HYDERABADSe alt
Tollywood was happy hunting turf for conman
The Times of India Hyderabad

Tollywood was happy hunting turf for conman

Kept Database Of Mobile Nos. Of Film Celebs

time-read
1 min  |
November 28, 2022
State-funded Metro to chug into RGIA in 3 yrs
The Times of India Hyderabad

State-funded Metro to chug into RGIA in 3 yrs

Residents’ Plea To KTR To Extend Other Rail Lines

time-read
1 min  |
November 28, 2022
Rajiv Makhni becomes the face of smart tech luggage with proximity indicator
The Times of India Hyderabad

Rajiv Makhni becomes the face of smart tech luggage with proximity indicator

The VIP SmarTech series, a range of smart travel gear, keeps you connected with your luggage via your smartphone

time-read
2 mins  |
November 28, 2022
I want to reach out to Samantha and tell her that if I can make it, so can you, says Vikram Bhatt
The Times of India Hyderabad

I want to reach out to Samantha and tell her that if I can make it, so can you, says Vikram Bhatt

The filmmaker opens up about his 18-year-long battle with fibromyalgia, a chronic disorder that causes widespread muscle pain

time-read
2 mins  |
November 28, 2022
Rain ruins second ODI
The Times of India Hyderabad

Rain ruins second ODI

The match was reduced to 29-overs-a-side as the first interruption caused a four-hour break. India were 22 for no loss in the fifth over at that time.

time-read
1 min  |
November 28, 2022
Croatia come in hard, show Canada the exit
The Times of India Hyderabad

Croatia come in hard, show Canada the exit

After their dour opening draw with Morocco had instigated a post-mortem into whether this Croatia side lacked a killer instinct, Kramaric and Marko Livaja found the net before the break to take the wind out of Canada’s sails.

time-read
2 mins  |
November 28, 2022
Denmark calls on Euro 2020, Eriksen experience
The Times of India Hyderabad

Denmark calls on Euro 2020, Eriksen experience

Denmark has been here before.

time-read
1 min  |
November 28, 2022
Ronaldo targets KO berth
The Times of India Hyderabad

Ronaldo targets KO berth

Win Vs Uruguay Will Help Portugal Advance With A Game To Spare

time-read
2 mins  |
November 28, 2022
Govt doubles large aircraft wet lease period to 1 yr
The Times of India Hyderabad

Govt doubles large aircraft wet lease period to 1 yr

Accordingly, IndiGo can now wet lease two twin aisles to operate flights between Delhi/Mumbai and Istanbul for a year.

time-read
1 min  |
November 28, 2022
Deuba's party emerges as single largest party in poll
The Times of India Hyderabad

Deuba's party emerges as single largest party in poll

Elections to the House of Representatives and seven provincial assemblies were held on November 20.

time-read
1 min  |
November 28, 2022