Well, not many can answer this question. However, James Rickards goes in detail with some examples that there are opportunities to make money in recessions, but one must distinguish among the three stages and pursue different strategies in each stage. Stage 1 is dominated by cash and Treasuries and dodging the recession bullet. Stage 2 is dominated by selective stock picking that spots the sectors that perform well in hard times. Stage 3 is bottom-fishing in stocks more broadly to prepare for the next rally.
What's the best way to survive a financial crisis with your wealth intact? The answer may surprise you. Many investors would say, "Sell everything, and wait until it's over!" That's almost never good advice.
In the first place, some assets perform well in crises, and you should hold onto those. Secondly, how do you know a crisis has actually started?
What seems like a crisis may just be a short-term bump in the road. And finally, how do you know when it's over? There were numerous 20 per cent stock rallies during the Great Depression even as stocks were grinding lower over a threeyear crash.
I'll tackle these specifics below, but I should point to an important aspect first: In any financial or market condition there are winners and losers. Diversification and timing are the keys to emerging as a winner.
Great Depression Made Fortunes
There are many famous examples of winning trades in recessions. Here are two of my favorites:
This story is from the April 2024 edition of Indian Economy & Market.
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This story is from the April 2024 edition of Indian Economy & Market.
Start your 7-day Magzter GOLD free trial to access thousands of curated premium stories, and 9,000+ magazines and newspapers.
Already a subscriber? Sign In
NEW INVESTMENT PRODUCT CATEGORY IS SEBI'S LATEST MOVE COMMENDABLE?
The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) has introduced a consultation paper proposing a new investment product category aimed at addressing a specific market need. This proposed asset class would offer investment options that sit between mutual funds (MFS) and PMS, filling a gap and providing greater flexibility in portfolio management. The new investment vehicle is designed for investors who are prepared to take on riskier market positions but find PMS schemes or AIFs out of reach. SEBI after reviewing the feedback and finalizing the regulations through stakeholder discussions, may issue the final regulations.
DECODING THE CHINA MYTH
Myths die hard. Among these is the great myth that China's poised to take over the world. Here, James Rickards debunks that myth.
What Is In Store For The Indian Economy?
Until the 2014 Lok Sabha elections, when the Bharatiya Janata Party secured 282 seats and Narendra Modi ascended to power, India experienced 21 years of coalition governments. A decade later, the BJP holds 240 seats in the Lok Sabha, and India is once again governed by a coalition. Fitch has indicated that coalition politics and a weakened mandate for the NDA could hinder the passage of ambitious reform legislation. It raises the question: Do coalition governments impede the economic reform agenda?
Transforming The Indian Stock Market
With a rising number of millennials, Gen Z investors, and tech-savvy traditional investors, Robo advisors are making a significant impact on the FinTech and WealthTech sectors. Factors like growing per capita income, favourable demographics, and increasing smartphone and internet Usage further enhance India’s potential as a robust market. Al’s role in stock market analysis is unquestionably growing. It enhances rather than replaces human judgment, providing powerful tools for informed investment decisions.
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\"We believe ourselves to be service providers and not any goods manufacturer\"
THE REALITY OF CORPORATE ESG INITIATIVES
Today, environmental, social, and governance (ESG) considerations dominate business discussions and have become an integral part of the strategies of many organisations in different industries. While some companies are grappling with these new standards and commitments, others, already aligned with the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), are well prepared to meet the evolving regulations and standards related to corporate social responsibility (CSR) and ESG.
Standard Capital Markets Ltd. Incorporates Subsidiary for Insurance Broking
Standard Capital Markets Ltd., a leading player in the financial services sector, has announced that it has incorporated a subsidiary under the name of “Standard Insurance Broking Ltd.” to act as a Direct broker under the Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority of India (Insurance Brokers) Regulations, 2018.NOC of Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority of India already taken and now company will also apply for taking Insurance Broking License of Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority of India (IRDAI).
THE IMMINENT MIDDLE EAST WAR
Recent intelligence from a variety of sources points to an Israeli war against Hezbollah, which is an Iranian proxy. Hezbollah is systematically attacking Israeli bases, radars, intelligence-collections facilities and other defense system components. Now the attacks are spreading to include Israeli settlements in the West Bank and Galilee. You’re just not hearing about it in the mainstream media. These attacks have three effects: They break down Israeli military and intelligence systems, terrorize the civilian population and handicap Israel’s ability to conduct air attacks on Syria or Lebanon. James Rickards points out why all these are imminent.
