MY PREDICTION: Canada's Poilievre Era Will Begin
Maclean's|January/February 2025
He'll likely win a majority and immediately kill all the Liberals’ sacred cows
Stephen Maher
MY PREDICTION: Canada's Poilievre Era Will Begin

Author of The Prince: The Turbulent Reign of Justin Trudeau

It's all but certain that, by the end of the year, Pierre Poilievre will become our new prime minister. We don't know when the election will be, or even who will lead the Liberals. What we do know is that the Conservatives have been ahead in the polls by double digits since September of 2022, when Poilievre became leader. He'll probably win a majority-and then he'll move fast and break things.

When it happens, there will be great rejoicing, not just where "Fuck Trudeau" flags are flown but also among the many people who feel that taxes are too high, housing is too scarce, oil extraction is too heavily regulated and immigration is out of hand. Poilievre is going to win because, when he says that Canada is broken, he is speaking for most Canadians-a Leger poll in March found 70 per cent of Canadians agree with him, including 43 per cent of Liberal voters.

This story is from the January/February 2025 edition of Maclean's.

Start your 7-day Magzter GOLD free trial to access thousands of curated premium stories, and 9,000+ magazines and newspapers.

This story is from the January/February 2025 edition of Maclean's.

Start your 7-day Magzter GOLD free trial to access thousands of curated premium stories, and 9,000+ magazines and newspapers.

MORE STORIES FROM MACLEAN'SView All
A Teacher's Tale
Maclean's

A Teacher's Tale

My career in Quebec ended because I chose to keep my hijab

time-read
5 mins  |
January/February 2025
Top Marks
Maclean's

Top Marks

InSaguenay, Quebec, Ecole de l'Etincelle embodies the school of the future

time-read
1 min  |
January/February 2025
Modernize Parental Leave
Maclean's

Modernize Parental Leave

Canada's birth rate is dropping, and the cost of living is partly to blame. A more supportive leave plan would make parenthood more affordable

time-read
5 mins  |
January/February 2025
"I spent years trying to learn English.Now I use ChatGPT."
Maclean's

"I spent years trying to learn English.Now I use ChatGPT."

AI isn't perfect, but it helps me write complex emails and understand Canadian culture

time-read
3 mins  |
January/February 2025
MY PREDICTION -  The National School Food Program Will Transform Kids' Health
Maclean's

MY PREDICTION - The National School Food Program Will Transform Kids' Health

When students have access to nutritious food, they do better in school and life

time-read
3 mins  |
January/February 2025
FOOD
Maclean's

FOOD

The exorbitant cost of food will have ripple effects on the restaurant industry and grocery stores. The good news? There's a plan to save the country's salmon supply.

time-read
4 mins  |
January/February 2025
MY PREDICTION - New Mortgage Rules Will Drive Up Housing Prices
Maclean's

MY PREDICTION - New Mortgage Rules Will Drive Up Housing Prices

Looser lending policies will encourage more people to buy homes they can't afford in the first place

time-read
3 mins  |
January/February 2025
HOUSING
Maclean's

HOUSING

Politicians will spar over how to tackle the housing crisis. Falling interest rates will draw young people into the real estate market. And a rude awakening is coming for homeowners renewing mortgages.

time-read
4 mins  |
January/February 2025
MY PREDICTION - Stuctured Literacy Will Help Level the Educational Playing Field
Maclean's

MY PREDICTION - Stuctured Literacy Will Help Level the Educational Playing Field

Canadian students have struggled to read and write. That stops this year.

time-read
3 mins  |
January/February 2025
EDUCATION
Maclean's

EDUCATION

Quebec's classrooms will take centre stage in the secularism debate. Chatbots will help students create A-plus work, while others will grade themselves. And thousands of international students will be sent home.

time-read
4 mins  |
January/February 2025