THE CONGRESS HAD been in a celebratory mood since October 5, when the exit polls unanimously predicted its victory in Haryana and gave it a chance at forming a coalition government in Jammu and Kashmir. Drum beats and the sound of crackers filled the air at the party headquarters in Delhi in the morning of October 8, the counting day, when early trends favoured the party.
The celebrations soon turned out to be an embarrassment, as the BJP took lead. By noon, the party office fell silent. Just three months after a spirited performance in the Lok Sabha elections, the party was yet again left to deal with the rather familiar situation of an electoral defeat.
The Congress was optimistic about doing well in the assembly polls. Victory in the state elections would have enhanced doubts about Brand Modi and the stability of the BJP-led Central government. It would also have strengthened the leadership credentials of Rahul Gandhi and increased the party’s heft in the Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance (INDIA).
However, the defeat in Haryana and the underwhelming performance in Jammu and Kashmir have come as a sobering experience. The debacle in Haryana, particularly, is stinging. A victory against the BJP in the Hindi belt would have given the party a big morale booster amid its poor record in direct contests against the BJP, and also a second state to rule north of the Vindhyas. It would also have set the tone for the next round of elections, with Maharashtra and Jharkhand scheduled for polls in November. The party could have bargained harder for seats with its alliance partners from a position of strength. Noises are already being made by the partners in Maharashtra that the party needs to shed its big brother mentality and be more realistic in the seat-sharing discussions.
This story is from the October 20, 2024 edition of THE WEEK India.
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This story is from the October 20, 2024 edition of THE WEEK India.
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