Banks caught in a trap
Business Standard|August 19, 2024
The cost of deposits is on the rise, but banks can't raise interest rate on close to 60 per cent of their loan books
TAMAL BANDYOPADHYAY

BANKER'S TRUST The earnings season is over. Barring a few, most listed banks have recorded handsome net profits in the June quarter of the current financial year.

Their combined net profit has risen 21.04 per cent on a year-on-year basis.

For a few banks, bad loans as a percentage of total loans have risen, but that's not alarming.

What are the two most critical parameters of banks' earnings that give us a clue as to how long the good run will continue? So far, all eyes had been on credit cost: The movement of bad loans and the provision coverage or how much a bank sets aside to take care of such loans. Higher provision, coupled with recovery, brings down the pile of net bad loans and adds muscle to a bank's balance sheet. The focus should now shift to the cost of deposits and the net interest margin (NIM), loosely the difference between what a bank spends on deposits and what it earns on loans.

Bandhan Bank Ltd had the highest NIM in the June quarter at 7.6 per cent, followed by IDFC First Bank Ltd (6.22 per cent) and RBL Bank Ltd (5.67 per cent). On the other end of the spectrum are Jammu & Kashmir Bank Ltd (0.96 per cent), Yes Bank Ltd (2.4 per cent) and Punjab & Sind Bank (2.69 per cent).

For most banks, the NIM was compressed in the June quarter compared with the year-ago period, and even the previous quarter. For a few of them, the drop is very sharp. For instance, IDBI Bank Ltd's NIM dropped to 4.18 per cent in the June quarter from 4.91 per cent in the quarter ended March.

In April-June last year, its NIM was 5.8 per cent. Catholic Syrian Bank Ltd's NIM dropped from 5.04 per cent to 4.36 per cent; for Indian Overseas Bank, the drop was from 3.53 per cent to 3.05 per cent. All in one quarter.

Isn't that surprising when most banks are chasing retail assets? Typically, the yield or return from retail loans is higher than corporate loans. There's a catch; I will come to that later.

This story is from the August 19, 2024 edition of Business Standard.

Start your 7-day Magzter GOLD free trial to access thousands of curated premium stories, and 9,000+ magazines and newspapers.

This story is from the August 19, 2024 edition of Business Standard.

Start your 7-day Magzter GOLD free trial to access thousands of curated premium stories, and 9,000+ magazines and newspapers.

MORE STORIES FROM BUSINESS STANDARDView All
FY25 as weak-earnings year is gradually getting priced in
Business Standard

FY25 as weak-earnings year is gradually getting priced in

Even as many blame record foreign portfolio outflows for the market downturn, the real culprit is weak earnings amid rich valuations, says GAUTAM CHHAOCHHARIA, head of global markets, India, UBS. In an interview with Samie Modak in Mumbai ahead of the UBS India Summit, Chhaochharia highlights that 2024-25 (FY25) weak earnings growth is now factoring into market expectations. Investors are shifting their focus to the actions of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and the central government, as well as the outcome of upcoming state elections. Edited excerpts:

time-read
2 mins  |
November 12, 2024
Business Standard

Non-disclosure of foreign property invites ₹10 lakh penalty per yr

Many high-net-worth individuals who allegedly own undeclared properties in Dubai have received notices from the tax office.

time-read
2 mins  |
November 12, 2024
Modest increase in SBI share price after Q2
Business Standard

Modest increase in SBI share price after Q2

Brokerages positively revise their earnings forecasts, maintain target price

time-read
1 min  |
November 12, 2024
Strong growth, margin metrics could support LIC's valuations
Business Standard

Strong growth, margin metrics could support LIC's valuations

In the September quarter (Q2FY25), LIC reported net premium income of ₹1.2 trillion, up 12 per cent year-on-year (Y-o-Y).

time-read
2 mins  |
November 12, 2024
Business Standard

Mkts settle flat on FPI selling

Benchmark stock indices Sensex and Nifty closed flat in highly volatile trade on Monday as continuous foreign portfolio investors (FPI) selling, disappointing quarterly earnings and weak trends from Asian markets dented investor sentiment.

time-read
1 min  |
November 12, 2024
Rising retail ownership to spur equity cult in India: Morgan Stanley
Business Standard

Rising retail ownership to spur equity cult in India: Morgan Stanley

Retail investors have become a force to reckon with as their ownership of Indian equities has risen by 800 basis points or 8 per cent to 23.4 per cent in the last 10 years, suggests a recent note from Morgan Stanley.

time-read
2 mins  |
November 12, 2024
China wrests MSCI EM IMI top spot from India
Business Standard

China wrests MSCI EM IMI top spot from India

Change in the pecking order comes amid a sharp rally in Chinese equities

time-read
3 mins  |
November 12, 2024
HAVING A TRUCK WITH LNG
Business Standard

HAVING A TRUCK WITH LNG

Things are changing rapidly with the entry of the private sector, but the path of LNG trucks in India is strewn with rocks

time-read
4 mins  |
November 12, 2024
Accounting for climate finance
Business Standard

Accounting for climate finance

The climate negotiations meeting of the Conference of Parties signatory to the convention, COP29, at Baku, Azerbaijan, where most nations of the world have gathered currently, shall deal with various concerns relating to climate change.

time-read
3 mins  |
November 12, 2024
Business Standard

Re-examine trade pacts

India must consider entering CPTPP, RCEP

time-read
2 mins  |
November 12, 2024