On election eve in the United States, the presidential race is deadlocked.
The polls are exceptionally close across the country and in all the swing states—Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin in the industrial Midwest; Nevada and Arizona in the West; and Georgia and North Carolina in the South.
The final New York Times/Siena poll shows Democratic Vice-President Kamala Harris leading by a very small margin or tied with Republican former President Donald Trump in all the swing states. The exception is Arizona, where Trump leads by a few percentage points.
While there is no clear favorite to win, there are several critical factors that will drive voters' decisions on Election Day.
Republicans turning against Trump
Trump's favourability is stuck around 43 per cent in nationwide polling. In the past two presidential elections, he fell short of taking 50 per cent of the national popular vote. As president, he never achieved over 50 per cent favourability. And he has never topped 50 per cent since leaving office.
This means he has hit a ceiling in his support and is highly unlikely to win the national popular vote on Tuesday.
This also reflects what happened to Trump in the Republican primaries to win the nomination. He dominated the field, defeating Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley, and several others. But in most of those primaries, 15-20 per cent of Republican voters did not vote for Trump.
Where will these Republican voters ultimately land on Tuesday? Probably half want to vote Republican and will go with Trump. Others will not be able to bring themselves to vote for Harris and will simply not vote for president. Others will switch their support to Harris.
This story is from the November 05, 2024 edition of Business Standard.
Start your 7-day Magzter GOLD free trial to access thousands of curated premium stories, and 9,000+ magazines and newspapers.
Already a subscriber ? Sign In
This story is from the November 05, 2024 edition of Business Standard.
Start your 7-day Magzter GOLD free trial to access thousands of curated premium stories, and 9,000+ magazines and newspapers.
Already a subscriber? Sign In
CESS AND SENSIBILITY
Southern states say cess and surcharge eat into their share of resources, urge 16th Finance Commission to consider contribution to national economy
Over 6K pollution plaints in Delhi since Oct 2021; 38% still unresolved: CPCB
Delhi registered 6,170 complaints related to air pollution between October 15, 2021 and November 19, 2024, with 2,333 (38 per cent) of these remaining unresolved, according to data from the Central Pollution Control Board (CPCB).
India's transport future balances fossil fuels and clean tech
Fossil fuels will continue to play an important role in India's transportation sector, even as alternative fuel technologies see multifold growth.
Indians see wallets drain by ₹485 crore in 'UPI scams' in FY25
Over 600,000 incidents of fraud have been reported in the ongoing financial year till September
Future of television is smart and networked
The smart TV market has been stagnant. Is Dor the disruption it needs?
Centre spent ₹3,623 crore on crop residue mgmt since 2018: Environment minister
Since 2018, the Centre has spent ₹3,623.45 crore on crop residue management in Delhi, Punjab, Haryana, and Uttar Pradesh, with ₹1,681.45 crore allocated to Punjab, the highest among the states, Union Minister of State for Environment, Forest and Climate Change Kirti Vardhan Singh said in the Lok Sabha.
Silver prices as volatile as stocks: Should you pick gold or silver?
A Motilal Oswal Private Wealth (MOPW) report released on November 25 shows that between 1990 and October 2024, silver's price has been just as volatile as Indian stocks.
Tech stocks gain as recovery takes hold
Nifty IT index hits all-time high as IT outlook turns positive
Adani group stocks settle in red
UNDER PRESSURE
Enviro Infra booked 89.9 times on last day
The initial public offering (IPO) of sewage treatment solutions provider Enviro Infra Engineers was subscribed 89.90 times on the closing day of bidding on Tuesday.