Trump Vs Harris In Equity Ring: Who Packs A Stronger Punch?

Battle lines are drawn in a hard-fought election in the US, the outcome of which will be known this week. However, analysts say global financial markets have already begun preparing for Donald Trump's victory.

- PUNEET WADHWA

A Trump win in the November 2024 polls, experts believe, is likely to benefit Indian automotive, energy, and metal sectors while being neutral for the pharmaceutical space.

Business-wise, the US accounts for around 18 per cent of India's merchandise exports, with major export items including electronics, pearls and precious stones, pharmaceuticals, nuclear reactors, petroleum products, and, to a lesser extent, iron and steel, automotive products, and textiles.

India is also one of the world's top services exporters, particularly in information technology and professional services, to the US.

Should Trump win in November, inflation, according to Nigel Green, chief executive officer of deVere Group, a global consulting firm managing nearly $12 billion in assets, is expected to rise as trade policies lead to higher import costs. This, he believes, could prompt the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to adopt a less aggressive approach to rate cuts, as the central bank seeks to balance inflation control with economic growth.