“The newly constituted MPC is likely to await more clarity on the evolution of the inflation trajectory before embarking on monetary easing path. While the near-term outlook on inflation is positive, the MPC’s decision is likely to be guided by the long-term outlook of inflation and growth, as has been explicitly stated by the Governor,” says BoB report. Despite inflation falling below the apex bank’s target of 4 per cent for the past two months, the policy rates will not change in the MPC meeting commencing on October 7, as per BoB report. This is partly because the recent drop in inflation was due to a “positive base effect”, the analysis added. The MPC committee will announce its decisions on the policy rate on October 9. It said that the volatility in food prices is likely to elicit a cautious approach from the RBI, a rate cut at this juncture is unlikely. An opportunity of a rate cut can only be seen in December policy, when the apex bank will become sure that inflation has moderated on a durable basis, it added. However, the report further added that the outlook on food inflation is positive, supported by a normal monsoon a favourable outlook on food inflation is seen, food prices are expected to remain stable.

RBI to hold rates amid inflation caution, growth outlook

68.34,2423.65,708.84,124.74,2056.00,3130.00

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