HO will be the next US president? Hazarding a guess would be like flipping a coin. If one were to go by the average of all opinion polls, former president Donald John Trump is fast closing the gap with incumbent vice-president Kamala Devi Harris, who has held a lead ever since she got a wild card entry into the fray after President Joseph Robinette Biden, Jr opted out.
According to the latest projections by election analysis site FiveThirtyEight, Trump won 526 times out of 1,000 simulations and Harris 471 times. Three of these simulations, done using polling, economic and demographic data, threw up no winner.
The higher winning probability for Trump, however, doesn't mean he is poised to get more votes from Americans than Harris. This is because in US presidential elections, the total votes polled nationally in favour of candidates in themselves don't decide the winner. What matters is the vote of the Electoral College, comprising 538 electors who will actually pick the next US President. The presidential candidate who has the support of a minimum of 270 electors (half of the Electoral College + 1) will emerge victorious. In the rare event of a 269-269 tie, the newly elected House of Representatives will decide the winner.
There have been instances in the past where those who got the majority of popular votes failed to make it to the White House. In 2016, for example, Hillary Clinton received nearly three million more votes than Trump, but the latter became President with the
for the Republican candidate, then the Republican slate of electors is chosen. If a majority vote for the Democratic presidential candidate, the Democratic slate of electors is chosen.
Denne historien er fra November 03, 2024-utgaven av The Morning Standard.
Start din 7-dagers gratis prøveperiode på Magzter GOLD for å få tilgang til tusenvis av utvalgte premiumhistorier og 9000+ magasiner og aviser.
Allerede abonnent ? Logg på
Denne historien er fra November 03, 2024-utgaven av The Morning Standard.
Start din 7-dagers gratis prøveperiode på Magzter GOLD for å få tilgang til tusenvis av utvalgte premiumhistorier og 9000+ magasiner og aviser.
Allerede abonnent? Logg på
A Forest of Enchantment
Delhi-based designer Payal Jain's new couture collection 'Enchanted Forest', not only paints a dreamscape inspired by nature but also gives back to the environment with sustainable creations
Confusion over trains led to stampede
Police: 2 trains with identical names on different platforms led to confusion among passengers before the tragedy
RAIL BHAVAN GETS INTO HUDDLE
High alert at stations witnessing very high footfall during Maha KUmbh
3rd aircraft carrying 112 illegal Indians touches down in Amritsar
THE third batch of 112 Indians deported from the United States aboard a military aircraft landed late on Sunday night at Amritsar's Sri Guru Ram Dass International airport.
ATS flags B'deshi terrorists entering J'khand for training
'Hatching anti-India terrorist conspiracies'
High Feb temp likely to hamper wheat yields
WITH above normal rising temperature in February, the fate of wheat crops in Northwest India looks uncertain. The rising temperature may shrivel wheat pods, impacting the quality and quantity of wheat production.
Anti-ragging cells in every Kerala school soon: Edu dept
THE general education department has decided to ask all schools in the state to form anti-ragging cells amid reports of ragging in some schools.
Shami works on lengths with Morkel
A FOCUSSED Mohammed Shami spent considerable time with bowling coach Morne Morkel as a full-strength Indian team started its training in earnest ahead of its Champions Trophy opener against Bangladesh at the picturesque ICC Academy practice ground here on Sunday.
Basilico finishes on top
FRANCESCO Di Basilico from Italy (55.45 m) and Martina Ayu Pratiwi from Indonesia (64.25 m) won the men's and women's titles respectively at the SDAT Asia Triathlon Cup 2025, held at the INS Adyar on Sunday.
Countering Modern Critiques of Classics
My thoughts have been very much with our epics this week and I would like to share my understanding of a few epic incidents that I feel have been wrongly critiqued in modern India.
