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<p id="1">Old rivals BJP and Congress square off tomorrow in the Himachal Pradesh assembly elections after a spirited campaign. An incumbent government hasn&rsquo;t been re-elected in the state since 1990. But that alone is no predictor of voter behaviour. In recent years, states like Tamil Nadu, Kerala and neighbouring Uttarakhand that would usually boot out governments have preferred incumbents to the opposition. BJP can lay claim to a lot of infrastructure improvements in Himachal but the presence of a large number of rebels in the fray could upset either side&rsquo;s electoral calculations.</p>
<p id="2">CM Jai Ram Thakur is bolstered by Congress&rsquo;s failure to project a CM candidate as well as by Modi&rsquo;s steadfast support for him. It is&nbsp;notable that he served out his term, in contrast to BJP&rsquo;s midterm reshuffles in Gujarat, Karnataka and Uttarakhand. But Himachal is also Congress&rsquo;s best opportunity to reverse its losing streak in assembly elections since 2018. Congress has had to contend with fewer rebels than BJP. But the absence of a tall state-level leader was telling, forcing the central leadership to dispatch Priyanka Gandhi and Bhupesh Baghel to prop up worker morale.</p>
<p id="4">But beyond the politics there&rsquo;s something more impressive. Himachal is an outlier among north India&rsquo;s predominantly poor human development indices. It is only one of two states in the north to cross the Rs 2 lakh GSDP per capita threshold and is now a pharmaceutical manufacturing powerhouse. Himachal is among states that have very low poverty levels, it has the second highest percentage of women with education till or beyond Class 12, and was the first state to finish Covid vaccination for all adults. That these impressive performances have coexisted with very competitive local politics speaks well of the governance abilities of both BJP and Congress in the state.</p>
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Fight But Govern

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